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Entries in CMI (3)

Apr282007 still blooming in April....big gains in CMI TRCR PAE AVNR

The streak of big gainers initiated by has continued into the final days of April.   Potential 15%, 30% 40%, 60%+ moves were just enjoyed in the last 2 weeks and are listed below.

These plays are up to the minute "leads' to members available on our site or via email delivery.  These are stocks we are closely watching for a trade, a heads up of sorts or ones we have just bought.  We only send out 1-3 Alerts-Comments a day, some days this includes some of our plays for a next day move.  We do not send endless picks, news bits on stocks with the hope you might hit on one and then put up those winners in public.   We say what we buy real time , simply we tell you what is on our trading plate and provide the trade methodology on these plays in the evening.  Simple and concise.

Despite the recent worry of many that the market was showing signs of trouble because the mid-small caps were not participating, we stuck to our guns!. "As far as we are concerned, if you come to the party led by the big need to bring a 'wingman' or two.  Our wingman is our smaller caps.   Simply, if the large caps continue on with earnings and keep going higher...the small cap wingman will have to come out and help out.. so all can play.  One can't work without the other!".  This week we got the mid-small caps joining the party as expected at!.

First half of April was highlighted by some big gainers JSDA, TSL, UXG and more.   

See these plays alerted to our readers. .   

Well, it's not only about getting the ' move' at DJIM, it is about getting out safely with your profits in tow.  We capitalized on those plays and alerted our leaving those momentum plays near the TOP.  The pullback has occurred and today JSDA sits 30% from our exit.   Here at DJIM, we just go to the next play and recycle the names when we feel we they are ready for another move..UP!

``We've blown out our positions in JSDA 30+, TSL 64+, traded some JASO and blew it out``Apr 16, 2007 at 10:30AM

``Despite the emotional feeling that these momentum runners TSL JSDA JASO can pull another 15% run tomorrow, we feel the odds favours a pullback here.....``Apr 16, 2007 at 03:34PM
So how did we finish up April with our members... here are a few of the winners we shared in!.  But that`s just part of the winners, you`ll find inside
CMI- Cummins Inc
``CMI  off $91's at 8:40 and now getting a few a bids.. still only 22k traded...looking for a nice morning open.``Apr 27, 2007 at 09:03AM-
Yes, less than 30 k was traded before we alerted in the low $90`s.  Just after 10am it hit $107+ or 15% off our note looking for a nice morning open. 15.6 MLN shares traded making  CMI one the most active and talked about stocks on the NYSE stock yesterday.
AVNR- Avanir Pharmaceuticals
``we think this a $2 dollar ticket even in mid 4's. 20% short interest and previous prices in '06 of this stock on this drug make it worth a spec. trade ``.  Apr 18, 2007 at 01:55PM
Every night we update our trades-play list for the next trading day. Wednesday, April 18, 2007 - Note on AVNR trade.
The next day AVNR exploded to nearly $7 and a potential 40%+ early in the morning.
``The play we are referring to today is AVNR.     We looked at the cause early on today and it's obvious that it had potential.    The rest of the time we just spend looking at the action.   100%-200%, who cares.  If a stock is up 100%, it is easier for it to go 25% higher with momo than if you start with a stock at 1% gain and try to get 25% with no momo.  When dealing with a play like this one that gaps up initially in the morning, it's just too dangerous for us to jump in big right away unless we get a good price in pre-market.   If we hadn't, then there's simply too much risk entering a position right at the beginning of the day with a sizeable portion.  Or... Simply start with a small starter to keep track of, nothing that would sting you if it turns against you.   How we approach it is that we usually wait till early afternoon to see if it has a chance to take out the intraday high.   Once it did, it's almost a given to follow through with a trade for a quick flip.  A quick flip, not a quick scalp.  We are talking squeezing 10-20% out of a flip.   If the momentum is strong, we can flip it a few times provided the 5 min. chart stays on an uptrend.    Toward the end, we'd look for signs if the stock can close near the high or not.   Usually when a stock closes near the high on this kind of extreme volume, it follows through even higher the next day.   Is this guaranteed?  No!  The probability is just high in this case.   So since trading is all about getting the right probability, we bought enough toward the end to look for a good follow through tomorrow. ``
PAE- Peace Arch Ent Grp-   Almost 60% in 8 trading days
In our weekend edition, we recently profiled a litle known micro cap. Our concentration at DJIM is earnings, IBD, momentum plays and this one fit even if it was only opening at $1.70 the next day. It had earnings and last week was profiled by to help out the cause of DJIM members already holding a position in PAE.

Sunday, April 15, 2007 at 02:56PM-  DJIM Journal Week 16

PAE,  came out with earning late Friday.  It reported .06 vs. (-0.04) +250% EPS change,95 RS, following a break even Q with revenue over20mln+11m in the previous Q.  It closed at $1.65 and has market cap in the 50's mln. Even if you take out a 1 mln legal gift, they still made over a 1.2 mln in net and are now profitable.   Usually a stock turning the corner on profitability gets some attention sooner than later.  It actually got into IBD's top earning announcements column and might get a look Monday or simply crawl slowly upwards from here.   It can be a complete bore or its numbers and float and price will get some cash into.  We'll watch early, you never know...


TRCR- Transcend Services Inc, was first a DJIM alert in January. Last week we were alerting again at $11.40`s as a buy in.

TRCR hit a high of $14.60`s Friday.  Nearly 30% in 4 trading days.

At, we are there in the pre market with a play like CMI and after hours with a recent buy in at TRCR

Apr 23, 2007 at 04:27PM

TRCR- has put in even a better Q than when we played it last Q. .15C. CC is at 11am , so plenty of time to get noticed.
growth in sequential eps(.02/.03/.04/.09 and now .15c Q)
1st revenue Q over 10mln. Excellent yoy # and sequentially they did better.   took a starter
See preview section 2006 for the layout inside  (navigation bar to the left).  See our Archives for the plays enjoyed in `06.
To join, use the SUBSCRIBE link. We will have you up and running within hours to enjoy the rest of this fantastic earning season!
Happy Trading!

DJIM #18 2007

NUMBERS, NUMBERS...there's the ECO. which include numbers of the crumbling USD, the poor GDP# number released Friday, the poor housing #'s and then there are the EPS numbers which are fueling the market with money that does not want to be left out of a bullish party.  Which numbers are we concerned about?.   The answer is easy as hot money keeps flooding the market, everyone is chasing the EPS numbers of the giants and now the more speculative, smaller caps instead of worrying about all the eco numbers and what they could be pointing to.  If we had millions, billions maybe we'd be concerned about what the eco numbers are pointing to and that includes slower growth/EPS numbers in Q2 and beyond, instead our goal as always is to capitalize on what we are given today, tomorrow and taking advantage of it fully. Go hard or go home is the premise here recently. You will not need to go hard or stress later in the year, instead you might go on a extended vacation if you are capitalizing on this bull run we are experiencing.  Simply, companies which are producing results, giving a good outlook are being rewarded big time. We can't ask for anything more as this is DJIM's niche!...So enough of the banter, lets get the nitty and gritty and that is the stocks we have our eyes and hands on..

IDSA, we discussed the possibilities of this beast Wednesday night and Thursday we all had a chance to accumulate in the $12's. We are patient and wanted IDSA to maintain some integrity by not finishing the day over $15 and then be prone to a sell off Monday if it was included in IBD so soon.  When we started buying Thursday, all we had hoped for was a decent finish in the $14's come Friday.  IDSA did turn out to be fun, even if an hour or two before we thought on Friday and made a couple of tries at and over $15.  We anticipated a roadblock of sorts at 15, it wasn't major but you have to understand many were happy to get out here knowing many are anticipating this level.  We did some selling in this area as well, 20%+ in a few days was sufficient for now.  Don't forget many got in even lower Wednesday on the results and were willing to sell around $15 for even larger gains.  We are glad to buy any dips and now look forward to IDSA having 5 full days of trading to rock $15 and beyond. The best it could have done Friday was finish in the $15's, but with a week to do some damage we think it has a better chance to go into the high teens in a somewhat orderly manner.

TO, easy symbol, brutal name Tech/ Ops Sevcon..hey but with a 2.2mln float and nice earning you could call yourself whatever you want!. This one has a string of EPS somewhat similar to TRCR with the last being in the mid-to high teens.  It also just put in it's first 10 mln revenue Q like TRCR. There is also 15% institution ownership with a few names we are familiar amongst the holders. This gives this unknown company some respectability. We feel with fast money back in the market chasing an IDSA or two, a play like TO should get some interest in the week ahead. You don't if you don't try!

CMI, guess we'll look at this again but after giving a ride from low $90's to $107 off the opening bell, you'd have to think you are not going to match that any time soon.  So why bother going back right away!. The co' beat expectations and gave a rosy outlook.  That was the spark to ignite what we thought would be a nice short covering in the morning.  As we noted in the forum that morning...more goes into finding a play than the headline numbers in many cases.  It would be too easy if all companies with excellent numbers did the same thing.  CMI had a big run recently due to M&A rumors, these rumors evaporate most of the time and this idea brings in shorts expecting the stock to come back to reality.   Nothing like a kick ass report to get them covering in a hurry.  This was the idea behind the trade for a early morning move.  Anyways this was exciting and you could put this one with the MFW's huge day recently when we gave out a play with something like 20-40k volume before it exploded to record volume and big quick gains.  If you're not pocketing these types of gifts and moving on or recognizing them as an opportunity to jump in as soon as huge momo comes in.... something is wrong.  Also, if you're still scared to buy expensive stocks get over it.  These expensive stocks present incredible opportunities.

VSEA, a semi beat by 3c and guided higher. Not big fans of Semis here for the longest time, but with market the way it is we need to diversify some and see what the bigger names are capable of.  Besides, this one was a nice chart heading into earnings and this weekend moved to #4 on IBD. A few firms already reit it a buy and boosted price tgts.. We bot late, low 69's.

MFW, a familiar name we bot back Friday. It kinda pissed as off as we only had a few shares and were ready to add for days $60-62 and now had to deal with a sipke at the open to as high as $68. least we know the Perelman money was smarter than us by picking up $12mln at $60. We like this kind of news and bot mid day off the pullback.

TRCR , quite the nice run in 4 days. We said we'd be looking to sell some if it reached the 14 area. Friday it was 3 plus points over our alert on it and we booked some profits into the weekend.  Nothing wrong here, just the right thing to do. We'll be back.

SYNL ,what can we say about the last 6 trading days, except its a pretty thing. We're all probably enjoying this move.

DXPE, was a casualty Friday but you don't need to be one.  Past knowledge of DXPE volatility puts this move into perspective. It's nothing but profit taking off a 8 point move. One way you might avoid more damage than you need to is set a mental stop in the area of the previous days long stick around that days low and or open. This is not a hard rule but if you had this point in your head it might have saved you a few points Friday. For us as full time traders it is of course easier to exit, if you can't deal with these types moves it is best you stay away...or you just accept them if you like the story and stick with it through the bumps in the road.

A few names for the pillow are acting well, past and present....VE hit 83, HTC near $24, CPY exploded Friday to 60's. These stocks have never seen RED, as in lower than our initial DJIM buy in's ( VE-$68,HTC-$17, CPY-$43) besides returning 20%-40% profits in months.   You can't beat that for a safe crawler. We try to give a bit of everything to satisfy all tastes.

One discussed in the forum early this week kept going creeping up and that is TWIN. ...... Remember SYNL EML were these pillow stocks when first intro'd here.  We can't discuss these much as they trade so thinly day after day, but for those of you with a longer term view on some of your positions these have been or are great stocks so far for under the pillow. An extra screener for these types is best to keep track and visit.  ABM, has pulled off a NCH and a nice weekly chart as well.


Be prepared...

Summer trading may be dull but days like today cannot be ignored by market participants.    Perhaps, since the majority of the traders expected a non moving and slightly lower market trend with slow volume the next little while, we may just get the opposite of that.     Of course, one strong day in the summer does not mean that we'd be starting a summer rally monkey chant.     What we feel, at this point is that we cannot rule out the possibility.     We had two market moving catalysts today, the sell off in China and Fed. minutes.   Both news bits could have potentially sparked a sell off over here but the market managed to shrug off both bits and shot up as a result.    To really put this into perspective, it means that we as traders will have to keep up with our A game and not to let up on potential days like today.    One thing that's obvious here, is that when the market performs strong, the beta stocks lead the charge.    Some of the small caps, momentum or not, may eventually play the catch up game.    The key here, is to recognize which stocks are in play and which one are not.   It's absolutely critical that we do not take our own personal opinion in speculating which stocks may be in play. You have a watchlist of recent winning plays that you can and should easily turn to again when called for, like today   Let the volume show us, and let the market decide which flavour it wants to put in play.    Follow the trend closely and act decisively, we may just have a good summer ahead of us.

MA FWLT CROX,  oh yes, the big guns of DJIM earning plays this Q were just glamorizing the indices move today.   Of course, it'd be strange and potentially worrisome if these one do not participate in the rally today.    The game with these is simple, when market turns green and stays in course, it's almost a given to scalp some nice points off these.    But of course, if you were in these since the day we alerted (EPS), then you'd be in good shape whether you scalp or not by now. The big and easy points have been made here as it stands now, this does not mean you can`t make more points on these in a good market.

PCS,  if you took anything away from the Journal last night, well then you probably were on your way early today to a nice close and a 6% day. A NCH is not far away here.  TTC, another recent EPS buy in closed with a NCH.

RCCC CUB TRCR, call these DJIM crawlers or whatever you wish, they all managed a new high today !

ATV, this one had a very nice pop going into the earning tomorrow and it's capped by a late day sell off.   Understandably, nobody here wants to hold through the earning.   At least, those who have rode it for a few points and those who have a rigid discipline like us would not hold through the earning.   If it so happens the stock gaps up off really strong EPS tomorrow, we'd be right there to bid it higher.  

Well that's it!...nothing else is worth mentioning........NOT!. There was little Novcea..

NOVC, wow eh!....was that not the most exciting 30-40 minutes!!.  This turned into momo momo.  The most important ingredient in trading is recognizing the potential of a stock, so you can fly with it if-when it takes off.   You have 5 tool baseball players, B.Bonds was one but became just a tool...well this was 5 tool stock!..cheapness, float, news, big pharma, big $$ involved.  We've had some amazing moves here, catching a few at the bottom before a big fast move.  These include the FWLT bust out, the CMI squeeze, the MFW ride last Q and now NOVC below $11 before the huge pop to $17+.  These one day moves are powerful and we don`t give a damn if they last 30min or a day.   The result is the same.  You can do in 1 day, what takes some weeks,  months to do in the way of a return.   Our summer was made today in less than 30minutes, but being the idiot traders we are!..we were looking for more to trade within minutes.  From the emails we received today, quite a few did very well too and might be going on a summer   The rush of a big win just keeps us going for more day after day, so we`ll stick around and look for more.   Usually, we would just leave a play like this after giving it one big whirl.  Instead, we were buying some back as volume picked up late in the day.  CNBC always helps.   Like the ACOR, VNDA, DNDN`s plays,  we put NOVC into the speculative DJIM room and will trade it day to day, hour to hour now.  To us the easy money has been made and that is what we first look for in spec stocks.