DJIM hold/ hit list #14

Up until this point, we have to say that we got more than we bargained for during the last few weeks.    Market has been extremely good and we had no shortage of good runners and a few super runners.   A quick glance at BT's charts, DJIM list#13 from last weekend and you see what a week DJIM had.  We introduced some new blood at the open during the week, EXLS, ZOLL to go with the GMKT, EDU, DLB, GROW, EFUT, AAON, ATNI already on the DJIM list from last weekend. These days are the reason why we trade, this is also why we have no problems going 100% cash when our gut tell us to.  Animal instincts, pile a stash for the harsh weather.  Some of these DJIM stocks definitely need to consolidate but new opportunities are popping up left and right,  so it's best we/ you do not have your cash wrapped in something not participating or moving. Thanksgiving trading week could add some fuel to the fire, this is why we've kept the charts of EFUT, CAAS up for more trading opp's...maybe this is the week...You see when the gnomes leave for turkey, the retail kids like to take charge of the house on a few names and run them up...basically taking a turkey and stuffing it with MOMO for a day or two.   A good chance is the theme of the C-team, China stocks continuing on.  Many of them provide a nice float to move.  You spend lots of time trading and learning and going through countless emotional roller coaster throughout years of dealing with this market.   Thankfully, a month like this would make all the hard work you've done in the past seem worthwhile.      We are going to highlight just a few stocks that stood out going into the weekend concentrating on the Asian theme.

JST, we played this stock a while ago and someone lit a rocket boost behind it on Friday.    Is this all because of the asian theme?  We definitely think so to go with the earning thrown in.    What may added fuel to JST is the IBD rating and it's not a total surprise to see it show up on IBD 100 this weekend, #73.  Unlike the other IBD plays floating around in the last few weeks, MEK BTJ ALY,  we think JST may have some more momentum to go.   Why?   JST is not oil dependent, and it's in a sexy region!  This is something we pointed out Monday, a look from the oils to China stocks, well now its spread to Japan a bit.  But most importantly from the trading perspective, it's being discovered by momentum crown based on its volume on Friday.    Ok, so momentum doesn't go up one day and die down the next day and we definitely don't think JST is one of those one day wonder either.    How are we gonna play this one?   The bias is definitely on long side and we will be trading it aggressively. We are also seeing a trade around CHDX and BIDU, primarily we are interested in the CHDX action.

MR, if the earning reaction isn't exactly explosive, then we can say that we are glad that the earning thing is over.    MR went up on its own Friday and had a NCHigh after being mentioned early in DJIM Alerts.  We like this one very much and added on its advance. Again...why hold a stock into earnings, better to have free cash and possibly dig up a EXLS the same day. You can always buy the MR back, we've been doing it since introducing it late September at 16.40. It was a frustrating stock at times but now up 30%.... it's all forgotten with the possibility of more on the horizon!

GMKT, hit $25+ Friday after getting a DJIM headline November 9th has provided many opp's to enter in the 19's-20 since. Late last week buying the dips was a buying opportunity as well.  The stocks price and daily volume keep riding the tide... higher.

TRT, this might as well be a foreign stock as it does the majority of its business in Asia. The stock has been in a tight range since exploding off earnings with DJIM in tow from the $12's. The thin market might be the right recipe for another leg up this week. Although a quick dip to the 9ema is a possibility with TRT, a  potential buy point again. The other choice is to buy a confirmed breakout which is not far off either. Volume is key here, both ways. You want it slow and easy to the 9ema, you want it hard and fast into the high.

DJIM recap..

So far the blueprint for this holiday week is quite the Green when it comes to DJIM small caps. We spoke of EFUT possibly being good material for holiday trading and it hasn't disappointed as far as excitement goes and huge gains since Mondays open.  Does it have more in store?. Who knows!. The real fighters off DJIM have to be GROW and JST, up 8% and 7% plus respectively today with NCH's. If you were patient, you probably got yourself a decent entry on JST without chasing its lights out on the open yesterday. Not far behind has to be the GLDN in DJIM alerts today mid 39's when volume was a quiet 30K. This Golden baby didn't only perk up, it foamed up to $41 and a clean breakout on 308K volume.  Again..the point of alerts is to show a stock of interest to us,  it isn't a license to buy because we mentioned it.  So everyone is into the momo this week, that's okay DJIM crawlers go the back door and put up another 5% as in the case of ATNI, $27.58. Ain't that chart a beaut for this DJIM stock from $21 this month. Paste this one on the wall of 25+% moves on the DJ Journal Archives wall....right next to MR which made a nice move to close at $22 today.  

A note on TRT, we pointed out the possibilities on the weekend. One was a volume break over the high, this didn't happened. The other possibility happened but it wasn't the slow and easy walk to 9ema, we would consider for a play. We noted a few things last night we didn't like about the stock and its surroundings, todays action really didn't come as a surprise.  Now is not the time to chase 9ema bounces, there is plenty of other plays forming.   Hard to tell now how TRT will react.    

Be smart, the market is only going to get thinner as we head into Wednesday trading.  If your stock exceeds expectations it might only be an illusion and not your trading prowess, same goes don't freak and SOS DJIM if the stock of choice does not meet your expectations...the spreads, the volume allow for a lot of trickery as we finish off the week.....

CMT mentioned around these parts since earnings,  put in a nice candle for the day. Let's see what this close brings tomorrow, if it holds early this type of thinster making a NCH has the makings of something that could bring traders in.

Chinese stocks... the likes of BIDU, GRFF, HMIN are definitely across a few trading desks this week providing a volatile trade.

DJIM Market today...

Maybe it's not a good thing, but days like this we are completely oblivious to the market shenanigans.  It seems there is only one market today and that's a DJIM market. Supposedly...the market was resting today, probably got a little fat since Fridays run began.  This didn't stop many of the DJIM stocks, they just kept on rolling along...

GROW, lets not greedy folks!!..that's a 17% trip off the latest alert to the $60 top...Yes, we said top...as in a possible short term top. So, not to be greedy we were unwinding our position. We've left enough to call ourselves happy GROW investors and we won't be far away to load up again.

JST, this one said.. hey I have a passport too and joined the Asian stock run-up. This was simply a case of the chart catching up to the rest of the action in DJIM land.  If you stared long enough at BT's JST chart, you probably had the idea of a potential big break coming soon.

EDU and HMIN...these two looked like they had a bet as to who was going to get to highs first. These two have added on about 10% each since Friday, today EDU ended with a NCH.

We have been pulling some profits off as any good trader/investor should as they go along...especially if its a quick 10-15% here and there in just a few days...But..instead of sitting on it too long, we've been putting it back to work. Opportunities are presenting themselves every day..sometimes its earnings, sometimes its the look of a potential set up. Today, we added a small starter in a couple of familiar names in AXR and DLB (comments in DJIM alerts). Other strong stocks of interest today were also familiar names from around here..ALY  FTEK  BIDU  IAAC.

DJIM hold/hit list #17

No denying last week DJIM concentration of stocks outperformed the indecies once again. By mid-week the major indecies ran into some resistance from the rally that began the previous Friday, this is clearly seen in yesterdays charts on DJIM Journal. You can also see the market rise early last week was met with some profit taking on the Nasdaq as the money flow diverged.  What also diverged was the action of the DJIM stocks as many closed with NCH(new closing highs), some were mild but still NCH's by fridays close while the market did little to add on gains late.  These include ALY, BTJ, DLB, JST, HMIN, ZOLL, EDU and a nice tick off the 9ema on MR.  Last weekends DJIM #16 concentrated on the 3 segments we have been riding the uptrend with...China/Asian stocks, Russian telcos and the baby oils and of course the always ready to go,  GROW.  

Interestingly, the baby oils services continued to roll on Friday after the oil sector reversed around noon and oil went from the mid 63's to low 62's, but did not take ALY, BTJ with it.  ALY tacked on about 15% and BTJ another 6% on the week.  

Besides GROW's seemingly fast and climatic rise from 50 to $60's, it managed to create the usual buying opp on the dip as witnessed Friday. We have stated, GROW is in trader territory more than ever and you need to be on constant watch at these prices or at least have buy in dip points in place for another possible trade and push up.  The Asian stocks continued their march with MR, EDU, HMIN up 8% on the week, we cannot forget the cheaper JST which provided a 20% trip with a few bumps in between. The other group we have built around is the Russian telcos which we jumped all over at MBT's earnings.  VIP started the week at $76 and climbed to high $81's and now has been basing with MBT in the backseat.  GLDN tacked on about 3 points and ROS continued its steady crawl.  As always, we look for new opportunities to sandwich in between the heavily followedDJIM stocks in good and bad market days. 

Also this week, we again introduced AXR off earnings and a quick trip from 98-107, BIDU is another one we are trading right now.   Unfortunately, many still think a $100+ stock is not capable of producing nice quick returns and prefer to buy the speculative MAMA's that wear army boots.  

For many all the action in the 3 segments might have been irrelevant if they caught the VNDA moon shot. After mentions December 1st and 4th in DJIM alerts, we and many of you early risers caught the morning alert at $21 -22.  If not maybe some of you were accumulating some with us in the $15's.  This launch was enough for many to call it a week, some a month if you are confident in DJIM words that this was capable of catching the MOMO and jumped at the opp to load up pre market.  We enter week #17 with the same cast, holding many, ready to hit on and add to others..(eg. russan basing telcos like VIP, MBT) as many DJIM's finished the week at or near NCH's, which could be a passport to further gains if the market does not a pull one over eyes early on. 

The only recent DJIM names we are ignoring for the most part is the tech names which have shown distribution with the rest of the Nasdaq..RVBD, DIVX.  

If the Grinch takes a peek and starts up, we will gladly sell some of these top performing DJIM names and take the profits to buy new and bigger toys on the market before the year is up!.  We're not finished yet!   We hope after 16 weeks here, many of our new readers are seeing the joy and potential of trading stocks with a earnings base under them...90% of the stocks we have put up on DJIM that have produced great returns are just that...quality, growth producing companies.  If you are longer term investor, doing some DD on the stocks discussed here and buying months ago could have made your year without calling your FA or pressing the sell button ONCE yourself......BTJ,ALY,MR,EDU, AMIE, TRT, RIMM and so on.  There's a little of everything here to suit a variety of investing needs.

No complaints with NCH's...

...the NCH's, new closing high list is long today for DJIM closely followed stocks...AXR ALY BTJ GROW JST REXI ROS ZOLL..intraday highs for POWL,FTEK

If you had to find some faults of today's action, you can say that FTEK reversed hard intraday and IPSU or POWL did not follow through the way it did the day before.    Have those three plays met our trading objective?  Hell yeah!    It's apparent that up until now, we can conclude with everyone that the key for each and every one of our plays is to find them early and get in early or wait for the next leg up.   When it comes to selling to take profits or cut losses, unfortunately everyone has their own threshold and emotional tolerance and discipline.   We like to take profit a lot and trade along the trend.  When a stock stalls or reverses, there'd be lots of sell signals and plenty of time for us to act, and such is the advantage of sitting in front of the screens all day.   Only you know when you've had your fill and its time to move on.    Ok,  here are some stocks that didn't disappoint...

ATNI, volume perked up considerably today and half of it is due to a block trade.  Nonetheless, we like its action and its strong move above 9 ema may suggest that it's ready to challenge its old high.   We got back in some.

ABM, what a surprise!...well, not really as its a blast when institutions (80% in ABM) want to play your side and buy as today.   This one was alerted yesterday due to their earning but today's action felt as if the earning came out today.   This one had strong action throughout the day and we like this one and thinking this one may no longer be a sleeper mover. Again..this is a lesson in not chasing the open, if you are not experienced enough to make a call, don't do it.  Let the market tell you when and if its worth a ride.  patience paid of nicely with IPSU, ABM

OPTM, we alerted this one earlier today and even though it did not close at the high, the late push was encouraging to see.   Say what you want, this one is also an attention grabber today.

GROW/JST/ALXA,  why do we group these three together?   Because really, those three only trade off momentum, nothing more.   Since momentum trading is what we do the best, of course we had to alert them late afternoon to all just in case they close well.   And they all closed well.

The bottom line is, if you get into some of these plays early enough and apply a proper selling strategy, a hard reversal intraday should not hurt the play that much.    Even if you did get caught and took some losses, there's really no need to get hung about it and just accept it as part of the game and move on.   There's always plenty of good action waiting for you here,  and that's also the reason why we rarely bring back our past plays (TRT) to our watchlist, unless they come back and challenge the high again or have some PR to kick it up. Too many of you fall in love with a stock and miss opportunities day after day because your money is tied up.  We can see by how many clicks the TRT chart gets compared to a flying AXR.   Move on people, TRT was here at $8 and then 12+ , AXR is up 25% since alerted here 8 trading days ago, what has TRT done the last 8?

DJIM hold/ hit list #18

In last weeks #17, we said we're not finished yet with this market in 2006.  Last week showed our resolve to keep finding the 'trade' despite an already fulfilling year.  The market just keeps feeding us DJIM type trading opportunities and we don't want to stop feeding it.  The exodus of players beginning this week for the holidays favors our type of play going forward as the volume creeps lower. The next few weeks is 'easy money' time,  we are only looking to add to the gains of '06...not diminish them with unnecessary risk.  This is not the time to look for the 'hard money' play that could tick a few percentages off your return.  This is not the time to think...hmm..this one could be a winner down the road and take a stake in it,  this is the time to play the momentum when you see it.  What are we talking about?.  Well, we gave it out all week!.  If you look at Fridays action, if you look at the NASD chart you can see the divergence in the money flow..what you are seeing is profit taking year end.  Where do we not see this?.  Clearly by Fridays action, it was in DJIM stocks.  While the distribution goes on elsewhere, DJIM stocks are getting our cash and many other dollars that are giving these stocks momentum.. bringing in the herd.  This is what we will continue to seek out...the positive money flow and/or where it might go.  These types of plays include the possibility of runners like GROW, JST given Thursday afternoon and then the subsequent momo the next day. 

Although earnings season is practically over there are a few names coming out with EPS, maybe we will get a couple more sweet ones before the year is out.  Last week we alerted to two we liked, IPSU and ABM and with a little DJIM patience we gave a follow up alert on each minutes before the big moves. The other grand move had to be the word on POWL at $28 and then the run..okay walk to just under $34, not so bad was the pick up of OPTM at $23.   Besides JST, AXR also had a 20% week. This one was a recent alert at $98 and continues to thrill closing at 129.  Hopefully,  some finally see the promise in buying a stock at $99 and not only $9.90 after the RIMM ride from $99 to $140 and now AXR's 30% in 10 trading days. 

We will continue to be selective in our choices going forward and yes... if we get more quick 5-10%-20% at this point on individual plays, we will take the profits as so should you. For more current plays of interest ROS, ATNI etc.,  just scroll down the Journal.

..wake up Nasdaq...

We are not going to overkill the market in this late stage. Instead of reacting to every economic number and every fed blurb that is toying with investors, we are simply sticking to our weekend words.  We are looking for the easy play, the easy money without being nicked.  The short term bet, trade is on and speculation/momentum is what we are after.  The market made a strong reversal yet the Nasdaq still finished red on the Fed speak.  We're glad to see the strong rebounds in a few DJIM names, but we are not going out and buying the dips aggressively.  Instead, we will wait and see if many of these get can get back to recent highs and then decide.  At the moment we are into plays like the ESCL.  How long you stay with one of these is not the question, it is how much profit you can get from them.  We traded ESCL a few months back close to this price and thought that  'crazy'  had the same potential today.....its' simply in its genes!.  Last time this craziness extended into day 2, despite a nice run from alert time at $7 and a few pennies to over $9, we've kept some in case the loopy money has further to go.

The other buy was FFHL, an IPO from China with a very nice float of just over 3mln.  Considering this is becoming retail traders week heading into the holiday, we were anticipating some of their memories of EFUT to kick in...ours did!.  We can't make predictions and the EFUT's come around once a blue moon, but if this FFHL is a fraction of EFUT ...it would be the easy money we are after now. We watched it trade with a few other IPO's today and had no problem giving out a alert in the low 10's. Usually an IPO has some turning over to do before it makes a move, we were hoping it skips this step and gets momo early. Judging by the AH trading in the mid 11's, a rarity for a IPO...this might be getting some attention tomorrow. Hopefully this will have a longer shelve life than ESCL.

There was some comical action today...unfortunately it wasn't for those that had their stops knocked out. The offering was quite small even for a JST share count and the money was going to a good cause...expansion. The wash job to $19+ was a joke.  Many of DJIM readers probably sold off yesterday and missed the sweet dip opportunity..we did for the most part.

The dip buying could be quite nice as seen in POWL  AXR especially,  but we are concentrating on those still playing around highs if adding shares.............OPTM was one today as it closed with a NCH.