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DJIMSTOCKS- since 2006 - Toronto, Canada/ London, U.K

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Entries in PAE (3)



There definitely is a pattern going on.   Big tech stocks delivering good earning and pushing the market up along the way.   It feels good out there, especially for those co's that have delivered optimistic news, earnings related or not.    This is good news for everyone.    When market is in a good mood, it's just much much easier to deal with everything else.    We don't necessarily have to trade THE stock in news such as AMZN or AAPL, but we can take the advantage of the rosiness of this market to tackle other stocks that we are familiar with and in our niche.     There have been tons of small caps releasing earning these days and with the help of the generosity of this market, we can sure capitalize on some good stuff out there.

First of all, you have to make money on a day like today.   What we said this morning was vital to tackle today.  If you aren't, then there's something wrong with your holdings/strategy.    What's a cure?   Dump the laggards and get into the winners.   Yes, it's that easy.    For us, we only fall in love with a stocks action, never the stock itself.   So if a stocks action gives us headache, we cut it and move on.

Earnings play!    We have stressed enough times that a pre earning run is merely a PRE earning run.    Holding through the earning defeats the purpose of playing the pre-earning run.   This is not a complicated concept but a much useful discipline for DJIM traders.   We don't hold into earnings, period. We just play earnings.  There are quite a few earnings related plays today so we'll go over some of them...This morning we gave our strategy to a few names we'd closely monitor for a potential play...

DXPE, earning came out last night and stocks action delivered today.    What may cause this is the possible fact that the stock did NOT have a typical pre-earning run-up prior to the announcement.  It just had a fews days sandwiched between a so-so day.  The stock price pretty much sat in a flat line since the last earning report and this time it just jumped much like last time.   Like we said before, seasonality factor favours DXPE, BTJ kind of stocks going into the summer.    The action today only further confirms our thesis and we bot some during today's run-up. Our approach was to watch tape, the market reaction after the bell and "go from there".  Soon, it was clear the crowd, the market wanted a piece of DXPE.

RVBD,  "We will play accordingly if we see it has potential to smash that level or if it does". Well as it happened, low $33 area was attacked and we entered into this play. We are not chartists, but one look at the chart today showed and area of tops from Dec to March. Our 'charts for dummies', handbook said if it takes this level, we'd like to play it. The factor of a hot tech market made RVBD an easy choice today.

BTJ, much like DXPE, this one did very well off the earning.   Mood is very positive for this sector and we have no reason to doubt that this one can run much further.     Float is small with this one and it doesn't look like it'll give up its spot on IBD100 list anytime soon. 

What did these 3 have that SILC didn't?. A mixture of sequential growth and good guidance, something SILC didn't.  If reading numbers isn't your game, let the market make the deciding factor for you before you enter a trade. want to be where there is a influx of money going in..not going out. The easiest way to do so is WAIT!.  Also, it is not just about reading the headline numbers.  If that was the case we'd all be buying EML today!

SCHN, oh how we like this steel earning addition to DJIM. Closed up another 6% higher. This is up from $45 when first intro to a high of $53.50ish today.

IDSA, this is and old friend for us that came out with results mid day.    The stock caught on fire b/c of the recent surge in scrap metal stocks and whole sector in general.   What got us more intriguing is the fact that IDSA's IBD number 90 90, prior to the report, is good enough to get on the IBD100 list.   Be caution though, this one is volatile and can turn on a dime.    We do, like the risk/reward of this one at this point given the rosiness of the sector, the market in general and the potential IBD fever attached to it.

PAE, this one was profiled in briefing yesterday but we mentioned it 8 trading days ago b/c of its earning, plus a recent alert on a move on $2.   All we can say it is a beautiful thing to sell our stocks into briefing profiles that get new bait for our already discovered fish!.  This one has gone up nearly 50% ( 1.70 to 2.50 close today) since our Journal on it but you'd hardly notice it b/c of its cheap price and with what's going on with all the other action. " Usually a stock turning the corner on profitability gets some attention sooner than later.  It actually got into IBD's top earning announcements column and might get a look Monday or simply crawl slowly upwards from here.   It can be a complete bore or its numbers and float and price will get some cash into.." DJIM 

MTOX ROS keep on ticking best. Some others we were trading today in smaller sizes and/or closely watching, MFW RCCC CYNO BW(eps in am).


Big Point Gainers...

Yes, the good earning plays are being rewarded with big points lately.   It seems you only have to beat just enough and raise the guidance(not necessarily required) just enough to be rewarded a big push on your earning day.    We love it, and this kind of phenomenon brings back memories of the golden days.    Alright,  so the strategy out there is to catch some of these big gainers once it's confirmed that people "like" their report.     How can you tell?    We figured if by 10 a.m.the stock is still holding up well, we'd be start looking for entry point there.   This may very well mean that we have missed the "best" entry price of the day, but it does ensure us that any entry price we enter would give us that much more probability that we can come out on top.   Why?   The big point gainer theory!    Of course, you still have to trade those stocks with that kind of potential.    If one of the earning plays did not give you a huge run-up, perhaps trying a few of them would work out better.    Keep in mind, we are playing the earnings play here, and these aren't the phase 3 stocks or other type of stories where the stories may only last as long as the time to chew down a snicker bar.     With a earning play, even if you get in at high on earing day, there's still a very high probability that stock continues higher throughout the following days if not weeks..if the market holds up, of course.

Bottom line, trading earnings play (after the earning announcement) is a rather conservative yet highly effective method to trade.   It can also be highly profitable if you trade mostly small caps like we do.    Four times a year, with each earning season lasting a month or two, this would be enough to make it a full time job.  With so many opportunities so far the past week, it just proves in our minds there is no reason to hold through and into the earnings call.  We have great expectations of the DXPE, SYNL, BW, BTJ's to announce great reports after trading them for months , if not already years....But this does not mean we want or will sleep with them the night before they give out their numbers/ guidance.  We practise, 'safe trade' around here, you might say on earning day.

Some plays today...

ALGN VDSI,  we group these two because they both shot up off their respective earning reports.    Volume was great for both and both pretty much spent most of their days flat lining until later on.    We alerted these earlier today and we liked the way they closed.   It wouldn't surprise us that they get some good follow through tomorrow and possibly into next week for some nice gains.

SVVS SSYS WST, these ones are much like the ones above and acted well off their earning reports.    We had to buy these because you never know which one of these will become a great runner.    What we do is keep a close eye on the strength of each one and add/reduce according to their action.    Basically, even for a small size, we just can't afford not to play them.  At todays pace , plus with the usual suspects rocking SYNL DXPE BTJ, we don't have time to do much if any DD on these new names.  We are trading the #'s and action.  We consider them secondary plays at this time and will choose the best in the days ahead to go forward with.

BTJ DXPE, wow these two had great follow through today and especially BTJ.    This is essentially pure momentum at work and we won't argue nor mess with them.

SYNL TRCR,  both notched a new closing high and in the case of SYNL, momentum seems to be really high and we are curious to see how high it goes before it stalls.  The last 4 are definitely the primary earning plays here.

PAE, wow we didn't even think this could be such a huge gainer(% wise) after we alerted it days back.   Of course, Briefing helped our cause but nonetheless the company PR machine is at work. Today, a deal with Sony Entertainment got the name out further. This is just getting too impressive and we'll keep trading it even after selling a chunk off this week.

IDSA,  it might be too cute to think that this one can get onto the IBD100 list with just 2 days left.   Well, technically, it's still possible given the float of the stock and volatile nature of this beast.    What we like about this one is the fact that the sector it belongs in is very hot and coupled with the general rosiness of this market, it's just not unnatural to run this one higher.   It does have good enough IBD number to get into the top 50 at least and we feel it's just a matter of time before it gets added to IBD100 list, provided that it can consolidate around this level.

Apr282007 still blooming in April....big gains in CMI TRCR PAE AVNR

The streak of big gainers initiated by has continued into the final days of April.   Potential 15%, 30% 40%, 60%+ moves were just enjoyed in the last 2 weeks and are listed below.

These plays are up to the minute "leads' to members available on our site or via email delivery.  These are stocks we are closely watching for a trade, a heads up of sorts or ones we have just bought.  We only send out 1-3 Alerts-Comments a day, some days this includes some of our plays for a next day move.  We do not send endless picks, news bits on stocks with the hope you might hit on one and then put up those winners in public.   We say what we buy real time , simply we tell you what is on our trading plate and provide the trade methodology on these plays in the evening.  Simple and concise.

Despite the recent worry of many that the market was showing signs of trouble because the mid-small caps were not participating, we stuck to our guns!. "As far as we are concerned, if you come to the party led by the big need to bring a 'wingman' or two.  Our wingman is our smaller caps.   Simply, if the large caps continue on with earnings and keep going higher...the small cap wingman will have to come out and help out.. so all can play.  One can't work without the other!".  This week we got the mid-small caps joining the party as expected at!.

First half of April was highlighted by some big gainers JSDA, TSL, UXG and more.   

See these plays alerted to our readers. .   

Well, it's not only about getting the ' move' at DJIM, it is about getting out safely with your profits in tow.  We capitalized on those plays and alerted our leaving those momentum plays near the TOP.  The pullback has occurred and today JSDA sits 30% from our exit.   Here at DJIM, we just go to the next play and recycle the names when we feel we they are ready for another move..UP!

``We've blown out our positions in JSDA 30+, TSL 64+, traded some JASO and blew it out``Apr 16, 2007 at 10:30AM

``Despite the emotional feeling that these momentum runners TSL JSDA JASO can pull another 15% run tomorrow, we feel the odds favours a pullback here.....``Apr 16, 2007 at 03:34PM
So how did we finish up April with our members... here are a few of the winners we shared in!.  But that`s just part of the winners, you`ll find inside
CMI- Cummins Inc
``CMI  off $91's at 8:40 and now getting a few a bids.. still only 22k traded...looking for a nice morning open.``Apr 27, 2007 at 09:03AM-
Yes, less than 30 k was traded before we alerted in the low $90`s.  Just after 10am it hit $107+ or 15% off our note looking for a nice morning open. 15.6 MLN shares traded making  CMI one the most active and talked about stocks on the NYSE stock yesterday.
AVNR- Avanir Pharmaceuticals
``we think this a $2 dollar ticket even in mid 4's. 20% short interest and previous prices in '06 of this stock on this drug make it worth a spec. trade ``.  Apr 18, 2007 at 01:55PM
Every night we update our trades-play list for the next trading day. Wednesday, April 18, 2007 - Note on AVNR trade.
The next day AVNR exploded to nearly $7 and a potential 40%+ early in the morning.
``The play we are referring to today is AVNR.     We looked at the cause early on today and it's obvious that it had potential.    The rest of the time we just spend looking at the action.   100%-200%, who cares.  If a stock is up 100%, it is easier for it to go 25% higher with momo than if you start with a stock at 1% gain and try to get 25% with no momo.  When dealing with a play like this one that gaps up initially in the morning, it's just too dangerous for us to jump in big right away unless we get a good price in pre-market.   If we hadn't, then there's simply too much risk entering a position right at the beginning of the day with a sizeable portion.  Or... Simply start with a small starter to keep track of, nothing that would sting you if it turns against you.   How we approach it is that we usually wait till early afternoon to see if it has a chance to take out the intraday high.   Once it did, it's almost a given to follow through with a trade for a quick flip.  A quick flip, not a quick scalp.  We are talking squeezing 10-20% out of a flip.   If the momentum is strong, we can flip it a few times provided the 5 min. chart stays on an uptrend.    Toward the end, we'd look for signs if the stock can close near the high or not.   Usually when a stock closes near the high on this kind of extreme volume, it follows through even higher the next day.   Is this guaranteed?  No!  The probability is just high in this case.   So since trading is all about getting the right probability, we bought enough toward the end to look for a good follow through tomorrow. ``
PAE- Peace Arch Ent Grp-   Almost 60% in 8 trading days
In our weekend edition, we recently profiled a litle known micro cap. Our concentration at DJIM is earnings, IBD, momentum plays and this one fit even if it was only opening at $1.70 the next day. It had earnings and last week was profiled by to help out the cause of DJIM members already holding a position in PAE.

Sunday, April 15, 2007 at 02:56PM-  DJIM Journal Week 16

PAE,  came out with earning late Friday.  It reported .06 vs. (-0.04) +250% EPS change,95 RS, following a break even Q with revenue over20mln+11m in the previous Q.  It closed at $1.65 and has market cap in the 50's mln. Even if you take out a 1 mln legal gift, they still made over a 1.2 mln in net and are now profitable.   Usually a stock turning the corner on profitability gets some attention sooner than later.  It actually got into IBD's top earning announcements column and might get a look Monday or simply crawl slowly upwards from here.   It can be a complete bore or its numbers and float and price will get some cash into.  We'll watch early, you never know...


TRCR- Transcend Services Inc, was first a DJIM alert in January. Last week we were alerting again at $11.40`s as a buy in.

TRCR hit a high of $14.60`s Friday.  Nearly 30% in 4 trading days.

At, we are there in the pre market with a play like CMI and after hours with a recent buy in at TRCR

Apr 23, 2007 at 04:27PM

TRCR- has put in even a better Q than when we played it last Q. .15C. CC is at 11am , so plenty of time to get noticed.
growth in sequential eps(.02/.03/.04/.09 and now .15c Q)
1st revenue Q over 10mln. Excellent yoy # and sequentially they did better.   took a starter
See preview section 2006 for the layout inside  (navigation bar to the left).  See our Archives for the plays enjoyed in `06.
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