..Big day>>>Boring day

Yesterdays BIG day followed by a BORING day is just fine with us...We can live on the adrenaline rush of yesterday any day, but sometimes coming off such highs can be quite the ugly trip the next day.   We've seen it before where the gainers evaporate one by one the next day and this is why it's never a bad thing to take down some positions in size on days like yesterday and even today when it is quiet and you can sneak in a better sell.    The boring action from yesterdays runners didn't stop us from looking for the next new stock to trade.    We found a couple this morning in ALGN and TGX.   The first hour of the trading day,  we are not thinking what potential this has 48hrs from now or next week.   If we see potential for further gains today off a good earning report..we will jump on it with a starter position and add to it if the action gets better during the day.   You could've had yourself 5-10% on the ALGN and TGX off the alert time without ever having to add these to your book overnight.   Some make a nice living just chewing off these intraday trades day after day.   Of course,  it's not that simple as it's about discovery more than anything.  Being able to find the play is what it is all about, even if the stock has gapped 15-20% by the opening bell.   Too many are simply afraid to enter at those levels and sometimes never get the pull back they hoped for.  These are not the sexiest stocks but they will do for sloppy days like today,  especially if the action is right with volume.   

Align Tech beats by $0.14, beats on revs; issues upside Q1, Y07 guidance (ALGN) , Reports Q4 (Dec) loss of $0.01 per share, $0.14 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of ($0.15); revenues rose 7.8% year/year to $55.2 mln vs the $54 mln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for Q1, sees EPS of $0.02-0.04 vs. -$0.05 consensus; sees Q1 revs of $56.8-59.8 mln vs. $54.75 mln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for FY07, sees EPS of $0.15-0.27 vs. -$0.01 consensus; sees FY07 revs of $240-255 mln vs. $238.37 mln consensus

Theragenics reports Q4 revs up 30% (TGX) .Co reports Q4 (Dec) EPS of $0.05, excluding a deferred tax asset valuation allowance, vs $(0.01) a year ago. Revenue rose 30% yr/yr to $14.8 mln. There are no analyst estimates. Co says "In many ways we have just completed our best year...and Q4 was our highest quarterly revenue ever...we delivered four consecutive profitable quarters in 2006, something we haven't done since 2002.".       

MFW,  this was the 'trade' in our book off yesterdays alert and buy in.   The action kicked off from the bell and it ran to a high of 33.69 off yesterdays $31+ afternoon prices.  These are the kind of trades you are most happy with!.  Ones where you believe in a stock from the extended level of $28,  our first buy here at DJIM..... to these days when you time a breakout almost perfectly.  Whodathunkit this still had 20% in it from that $28 buy in?.  We did and that's why its been on the chart board every day.

CENX CCOI , also part of the alert..We had nice days with CENX climbing to over $2+ at the highs and CCOI $1+.   If you've been long these,  you're happy.  If you day traded the alert...you're happy.  Actually, we're happy on both sides by adding to the move and selling some later without touching our longer term position in each.

Besides these early morning alerts,  it was quite boring.    But... boring is good when nothing falls apart after a big day.   Anyway, there were enough plays to keep us all busy today.

Fed Day

This is one of those days where we wish we were institutions rather than retail investors.  Not!   Up until the Fed decision, the market seemed like it was stuck in mud.   There was hardly any action and most of the entertainment was provided by the special guest on the NYSE trading floor.   We had to double up on the amount of coffee we drink just to get to the 2:15 p.m. mark.   Then it felt like there's a jolt of energy injected into the market and everything becomes alive again.   You don't think the guest of honor would address Wall Street and then have FOMC ruin the day?.      Let's just say the stars were lined up ...Bush...Bernanke and not accidently.

Speaking of jolt, the Chinese market was rocked the night before and it's definitely spilling over to all of the flavours here in North America.   The familiar ones we cover all suffered to one degree or another.    However, we see little correlation between the market over there and the Chinese stocks trade here as most of them only trade on North American market.   Still, we prefer to see a trend change here.  We'll see soon enough if this is mere a distraction and provide people here some opportunities to add to the strong ones.

TGX, this one had the best follow through from all of the stocks yesterday.   Sometimes you just simply have to be surprised by the kind of stocks that are performing in your portfolio.

VARI, this is one of the earning play that obviously enjoyed the Fed day more than the others.  Action speaks louder than words and we added during its strong performance today.

CHRW, this is a new one we are throwing into watchlist as this is the rare earning reaction for a big(relative) co.   Volume is huge and stock finished near the high.  Whatever the institution is seeing in this thing, we think there's going to be more to come.

CNS, we think this one is finally ready after excellent earnings to move forward.  We picked some up near of end of day

ABM MFW, these two DJIM's just keep serving up excellent days.

CCF is turning slowly...as we said... patience these earnings are not going away.

The market got a late day upgrade,  if we are to continue this longer term uptrend there is no better place we'd rather be than in strong EPS stocks. 

SWIR, we added a few times AH, the earnings are quite good and considering SWIR was just 15+ getting a position in the high $15.60-80's is a treat.  Maybe we should listen to the CC to find out why this didn't trade higher, but instead we'll let the action in the morning dictate what we do.  We think we might see a 5++mln volume day on these numbers, if that happens the share price will be quite higher intraday.

Reports Q4 (Dec) earnings of $0.09 per share, $0.02 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.07; revenues rose 81.8% year/year to $68.3 mln vs the $66.3 mln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for Q1, sees EPS of $0.12 vs. $0.08 consensus; sees Q1 revs of $82 mln vs. $65.83 mln consensus. Co states. "Based on strong bookings, we have solid visibility on Q1 2007 revenue. This guidance also includes a sizeable increase in operating expenses related to new product launches and major trade show activity expected

Post Fed Day

Normally, or many times in the past, the "Post Fed Day" has not always been kind to the market.   This time the market definitely had a change of heart.    When it comes to DJIM stocks, we actually had a much better afternoon than in the morning.   Many of the stocks we are familiar with just simply strengthened up toward the end and some of them had pretty good closing actually.   We'll pick out a few and highlight them...

CCF, perhaps this one is the most surprising one out of the bunch.   It was very ironic that only a couple of days ago that we were worried about its above volume sell off.   Again, we pointed out that we'd give it a couple of days to let it show us which way it wants to lean.   Volume today isn't spectacular but we think it has potential.   We added back some shrs today and no doubt also contributed to some of the rise today.   Nonetheless a new closing high is a new closing high.    What this does is that it actually puts this one back to our top watchlist and we'll again be adding aggressively.   The conclusion is, let the stock show you how strong it is before making up your mind of adding/chasing.   There's no need to be overly optimistic on "the best play" if the action seems uncertain.   If uncertainty occurs, reduce position and sit on the sideline with a little exposure.   Once the danger is over and the trend is clear, then jump back in.    Actually, this is more like the strategy for surviving in the jungle. lol   But in all honesty, trading the market is like surviving in the jungle.  There's really nobody else to look after you other than yourself.   Making kills (plays) just don't come easy when you got so much competition out there.

MFW, it's been up three days in a row now since our alerts on it Monday and of course the little alarm might tick off for a possible pause in this latest runup.    It doesn't mean that we have to go all out and sell it out.   Just be prepared for reversal and when it happens, don't be hesitant to reduce.  Recently after our initial buy in, MFW provided one quick trip down and that has turned out to be one of the best trades recently for us adding in the $26's.

SILC, ok so this one sat there for a couple of days and today broke out on pretty good volume.  There's not much to say other than the fact we added some toward the end.   Why at the end you ask?    If a breakout does not hold till the end, then it may be a fake one and we simply hate any kind of fake break outs.

HRBN, what to expect tomorrow?   Ummm, there's a chance it may follow through and start some momentum.   We are keeping our fingers crossed and if there's any sign of momentum picking up, we'd be adding aggressively.   We are watching it very closely.

TGX, time to let some go today.   We all had a chance after alert at $4, 20+% in 2 days is just too good to ignore.    We reduced most and looking to add on pullbacks.  BT noted in forum some technical analysis on it today.

A note on tech earnings on the Nasdaq, a definite theme has developed that started with AAPL, a few names early this week and then GOOG today.  You can put SWIR in this bunch of sell offs off excellent results.  Last night, we talked of the slows action in AH in the 15's and up only 10% on SWIR..."Maybe we should listen to the CC to find out why this didn't trade higher, but instead we'll let the action in the morning dictate what we do".  The action early showed SWIR had no chance and why.  Simply these techs are selling off the stellar earning news.   As we always say and said last night, wait for the market to dictate what you should do on a earning reaction.  If you do take a position early make sure its a starter, something you can rid of without much of a loss quickly.   At this point, we are carrying between 10-15 positions on any given day and blowing out a small starter position as in SWIR from AH is nothing when you have positive action in so many DJIM stocks.  Cut the laggards and those behaving badly.  If you are one to carry 2-3 positions at a time, you definitely should not be going large into earnings plays until the market shows you what it thinks.   It tells you pretty fast as with GOOG and SWIR last night and today.  We are looking at DLB's earning with all this in mind tomorrow despite how attractive it looked on paper first.

Other stocks showing strength, some more than others.. include ENR ABM GLDN VARI CNS OEH NWK FSYS ALB CENX TRCR ... so most of them are eps plays and all of them you've seen at DJIM over the past 5 months.

DJIM #14 2007

Looking at the past week, we sure had a lot of turbulence news wise yet whole lot of nothing from this market.    Being a trader in this market environment, we have to accept what's happening out there and constantly adjust our game plan in order to cope with what's working.   Basically, it was a grind out there and whole lot of time was spent on watching things that may not develop.   Well, this is one part of the trading world that we have to accept and we just have to deal with it to the best of our ability.    Because our trading methodology is very short term and most of our plays don't last longer than a couple of days or weeks, we always tend to assess the situation bear in mind our trading time frame.    One good thing is that last week is in the book and we are setting our eyes on a fresh week.   We are also getting closer to te earning season.    While a few little biotechs dominated the stories last week, we still had a few DJIM type of stocks making some nice moves.

MFW, this is probably the result of a long base forming action.  This one held up reasonably well during the correction and it caught our eye earlier this week on a breakout setup.   It did not disappoint and closed the week near another 52 week high.   We are definitely keeping this one on top of our trading list for the next little while.

CYNO, despite the minor pullback on Friday, we think this one is still very much in play.   The 9 ema is catching up which should provide support for this one to gain some footing for possibly another assault higher. We will look to play again. For those new to DJIM, this stock was an alert before being added to IBD back on Feb 15- CYNO, "Accumulating some of this one. Reported recently. Like chart, IBD #'s and float. Low 23's"..Posted on Thursday, February 15, 2007 at 01:49PM

JSDA, so Cramer jumped on this bandwagon and we are definitely putting this one on top of the trading play list at least the next couple of days.   Despite how much you like or dislike this TV guru, we think he can bring enough exposure to this stock for us to get a couple of "easy" tradable opportunities. Also, it was one of the biggest decliners in IBD last week, so look for some support.

TGX MTOX,  A couple of the best performers Friday are past DJIM EPS stocks . Some of you have definitely kept a closer eye on these two than us.    Given all the biotechs news we had last week, it's understandable that these small medial equip. co. can also be put in play.   We've always been partial to this sector and many of our past winners have come from this sector.    Yes, these ones are back onto the top of our trading list. This recent IBD addition has a column on it in weekends edition. As you know we are not shy about buying moves already made.

TGX was a earning play just below $4 in Alerts on Jan 30. here is a refresher on it...Briefingcom- After being a momentum stock in the late 90's, Theragenics fell sharply a few years ago and went through a restructuring and fell off the radar. However, the stock is showing signs of life again and could be making a comeback. Yesterday, the stock traded to a multi-year high following a strong Q4 report. Sometimes a big qtr can put a little company on the map for a sustained move. The co is a medical device maker and it's the brachytherapy segment that is the driver here: its TheraSeed device is used to treat prostate cancer without the drawbacks of surgery. Brachytherapy with the TheraSeed device involves a simple 45-minute, one-time procedure. Typically, a patient receives local anesthesia and does not feel anything below the waist. The physician then inserts thin, hollow needles into the prostate gland and deposits about 75-150 tiny seeds. Most patients leave the hospital within hours and resume routine activities in 2-3 days. During the next few months, the radioactive ingredient, palladium-103 (Pd-103), fights cancer from inside the body. The co says its treatment produces results better or equal to surgery... TGX's Q4 results were impressive with revenue rising 30% yr/yr to $14.8 mln and EPS of $0.05, ex-items, vs a loss a year ago. The co has now delivered four consecutive profitable quarters for the first time since 2002. The co also says it benefits from an important federal health law signed last month which protects reimbursement rates for seeds... Bottom line, TGX moved up on this report, but it still has a market cap of just $143 mln. A strong qtr can put a little known stock on the map, so it's a name to watch as it attempts a comeback. Mkt cap

WBD, we added a small piece on Friday after noting it on Thursday following earning. WBD was an original buy on DJIM back in mid '60. What a nice hold it would have been to today. We are looking to add if this trend continues, we would be sellers not much lower than our pick up in the 79's.

Solars, crude oil definitely stole the spotlight last week.   One would think solar plays would catch some fire as well.  Well, we think it's just a matter of time.   Now we just wait.    The point is, we just can not afford NOT to keep a close eye on these solars.

Let`s get earning season into gear.......

Plenty of nice money making  EPS plays started here last Q including USAP CCF VTRU VARI MTRX SYNL EML HDNG CYNO TRT..again HURC  micro caps TRCR TGX NWK AVZA CSV

Note: We will not be processing renewals or re-activating turned off accounts for those who (signed up Jan 3 or before) during trading hours.