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Entries in ZOLL (2)


Reversal of fortune?

who cares, right now! 'bout just knocking some sense in again about protecting and building our own little fortunes as we start to experience this daily volatility thing.  This is old hat to the experienced traders, but this is something we all need to be reminded of at times.  Today a couple things came up on DJIM that makes this necessary.  One was early in MTRX.  We always say let the markets action dictate your move, the action, the volume will tell you what it thinks of earning / news and give you a clue as to what to do.  Sometimes its obvious and you might as well get your 'ball spikes on and join in the frenzy..aka FFHL type moves, other times 40k volume premarket as in MTRX will leave you holding your shorts on a white stick as you stand on the 'top' looking down at the action at 9:35am.  Do you want to be with the 1 million shares seemingly traded around 16.50's today or be amongst a few at high 17's, some 18's premkt.  It's lonely at the top!. We tried to throw caution in the morning note again, there is more than one buy opportunity after the exuberance dies off and it will come at a decent entry.  Be patient!.

Back to basics on MTRX, the numbers are very good but unfortunately come on day 2+ of the massacre on the oil patch.  Matrix Service Co beats by $0.13, beats on revs (MTRX) 15.10 :Reports Q2 (Nov) earnings of $0.31 per share, including options charges, $0.13 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.18; revenues rose 31.2% year/year to $166.4 mln vs the $138.4 mln consensus and raised revenue guidance by 10%.  The instit's hold over 90% and today they churned this at recent resistance.  We took a starter early and added a bit more at the close as it showed it could hold that resistance at least for today.  You might remember our intro of ABM pre market back in December. The first candlestick looks similar as MTRX today and we alerted the next day I think at 21.50 to our buy in and it rocked past that candlesticks top.  That ABM is also a big instit holding and maybe this will play out in a similar fashion.  We touched on ABM last night, everything still holds..but it just looks a bit better today at the close.

The other matter came up in the forum. Yes, we recycle stocks..but to recycle they need to lie in the bin for a while. We do not go buying the dips the next day or the day after.  Let the raccoons frolic in the bin.  We avoid the downturn in a stock by going somewhere else, sometimes its just into cash.  Yesterday we said the 'FXI' is the fix right now in dealing with our Asian DJIM's.  We got a nice run the past week and yesterday as the FXI turned,  we were locking in those gains.  If we put in the forum the FXI is at the gap open and it could get worse...we mean it and wouldn't be standing around at the gap open in a falling market like yesterday to see the gap potentially close.   So no ...we wouldn't be adding the MR, HMIN back today when the FXI has closed that gap pre market at $112.  This can't be a buy signal during the day if we are using this ETF as a measuring stick right now to our China Stocks.  We've had MR,EDU since September, recycling it over and over again but never the next day.   BIDU, is an exception as it trades with the internets and today that sector was not a bad place to find yourself.   Speaking of dips..GROW is swimming in it and we ain't jumping in on such a break of the 9ema.

What we always prefer to do is find something else, something else that is near a high, breaking a high or in the beginning of a reversal.  Something like a SYX or a HRT or more ABM or a new play that might catch on like MTRX.   Basically we trade the "GREEN' not the "RED" stocks. If you don't like GREEN and prefer Pink, Orange, maybe your trading platform will allow you to change the colors around. Whatever color you choose, it's best to trade the stocks with a + in front of them in our book.

ROS has been renamed the Russian Rocket...this is just funny and explains those huge lots on the bid we talked of recently. There's been one shakeout recently to low 40's, one might come again but in the meantime adding as this goes higher.

ZOLL is just ZOLL, a nice and quiet medical device stock that doesn't really care about much about the markets internals. Steady she goes...

Besides the highlighted stocks above, we are trading some AMK on the speculative side of things today.

The funny thing we kept mumbling yesterday is its Jan 3rd,2007, who the hell cares about the December 12th, 2006 FOMC minutes.  But it doesn't matter how silly we thought the Times Square NYEve Ball drop was...the only thing that mattered was what the market thought.  It's all reaction..action and we just play along with it....yesterday on the sell on the buy side.


All focus on AAPL tonight..

Well,  it definitely looked like there's really no other interest to keep traders from staying up till the end.     AAPL's earning is out and now what?   At this point, we think it's more of a company specific news even though the strong shipment of ipod may spill over to some other component players but we are not going to get too cute at this point.    What was anticipated was also probably what was expected.    There are very few setups worth mentioning today, so we'll tackle a couple of the ones we like and a couple of others from the watchlist.

HMIN, perhaps we are not the only ones anticipating this breakout so the end result although somewhat encouraging early, but not spectacular near the end.    One thing for sure, this is among one of the widely held Chinese stocks out there.   The close is nowhere near the high and it was definitely dragged down by the poor index action.    We will call this breakout still but we aren't going in with any sizes. There are lots of breakouts, reversals your stocks may see, but it is always a good idea to take the gift in some size before the overall market catches up to your stock and diminishes the breakout or reversal gains.  HMIN and MEND are two examples today of this.

ZOLL, this is a little rocket that would go nuts off any good news.  Unfortunately, most of the gains were achieved within the first 10 min. of trading and it literally spend the rest of the day digesting the early gains.    It's very difficult to play these and unless you get in pre-mkt or right at the open, there's really not that much of an opportunity.  But, if you're an early starter, your day could be done by 9:35.   Basically, you could make a living off these early bird specials.  Of course, we have to also look at the prospect to see if this sets up a new leg up.   At this point, it's not very clear whether how much of the news is already priced into the action so we are less inclined to chase any more.    If an opportunity presents it self for a nice setup, we definitely will.   There are hundreds of releases every morning, we try to pick out what we think is best for you to closely watch, maybe get a starter position if there is some interest. Today, this was clearly the case as the stock traded in the $66's-67's pre market.

 PTT, is another example of a pre market note from last week that is doing well.  We are back trading some.

MR, now perhaps this is the way they do things over there.   Updating their guidance with a positive outlook while sneak in with a secondary offering at the same time.    From a co's point of view, they timed it right and damage is minimized.  For us the traders, we just hate to see the stock get derailed from some news like that.    This by no means the play is over.   We just think it may need additional time to churn over this "secondary news" or after they announce the pricing.   11 million additional shares is a big deal, in case those who aren't familiar with these sort of things.    Like any other plays with secondary offerings, this news will linger over the stock price for a while and we find it hard that it will challenge the old high any time soon.   Of course, anything can happen but we are going with our past experience for now and going light with this thing.  This is an example of letting the market dictate the action.   Initially, we had no clue of the secondary but the market told us something is not right.  We thought there might be cheap shares, just not because of an offering and small downgrade.

VOL, to play the bounce or not to play?   If you got a fast enough of a trigger, there's probably some intraday opportunity there to provide some quick action.   For those of us who are looking for a meaningful and sustained movement, we don't think it's ready yet.    Those monster 3 days rally followed by an even more wicked sell off is something that would keep some traders away from.   At this point, we are saying we don't trust this thing, yet.   There are also some longs who may be trapped to and are dying to get out.   We'll need to give it some more time.

IPGP,  played with yesterdays reversal some more and now finds itself back over 9ema.  Nice if you took the 23's, 24's yesterday, but we're not sold back on it just yet at these prices in this market.

Again, earning season is in the very early stage and we have many many more companies to report.  Most of the companies which fit our trading criteria have yet to report.    We are hopeful that we'll see some more good report this quarter and give use some real gem to play with.