'Whiteout' day...

Market is seemingly ahead of the calendar and the upcoming 3 day holiday!. Today had all the characteristics of a holiday session, a complete “Whiteout” just like the NE.  There is no color from this action,  just a technical trade in effect with 1071 being a roadblock.   As we said in last Journal, the Greece angle is looking more and more to be priced into the market after today.   Most likely, we’re stuck in a narrow range 1055-1071 until some data on the eco’ or corporate front to get a read on direction and which, if any, sectors are tradeable.  

We’d watch earnings plays now, if dealing with the fluctuations of the USD/ EURO and the commodity linked stocks gives you whiplash.  As we pointed out reactions are better to earnings, especially to those stocks that were oversold in the recent mess.  Off our list, EQIX  is one tonight that may reverse its recent trend off its inline numbers, even if it sold off more AMC.  MICC , we’ve added today as a earning play to our list,  HAR  noted on Tuesday had a nice follow up day.   Also, China related stocks might be turning in anticipation of next week being a holiday..blackout period for data.  

...upside risk coming back slowly

After breaking the string of lower highs closes on Friday,  the market woke up to be powered out of the gate by a string of M&A activity worth about 50bln  + more Greece aid package noise to close at flush levels of 1115 SPX, we discussed last week.   This is just above the 7 day recent range and if a good ‘breadth ‘ day is indication, as many times it is for a few days more,  the risk is upside and those conviction buyers may have reason to step off the sidelines as the shorts will keep their distance.  What’s good about the ‘ breadth’ is even the big momo laggards got in the action..AAPL, AMZN.    This appetite for techs helped propel the SOX over the 50ma after trying unsuccessfully last week. 

Of course,  the financials are always the disconnect from the market tape it seems.  Last week they outperformed the tape,  today they stunk the joint out.  Well, we’ve learned the past 6 months or so that GS and the boys are not greatest barometer of the tape, so it’s no big deal.    If we follow our shadowlist names and set it up as we did in our last update, you know where the money flow is going and therefore what is the trade.   We can see by the example below of where some of the flow was today and it was into our Q earnings plays.  Some names noted in February off earnings enjoyed a NCH day…ie. WFMI  MICC DLB NFLX PMTC