TXN, AMZN, AAPL...

There definitely is a pattern going on.   Big tech stocks delivering good earning and pushing the market up along the way.   It feels good out there, especially for those co's that have delivered optimistic news, earnings related or not.    This is good news for everyone.    When market is in a good mood, it's just much much easier to deal with everything else.    We don't necessarily have to trade THE stock in news such as AMZN or AAPL, but we can take the advantage of the rosiness of this market to tackle other stocks that we are familiar with and in our niche.     There have been tons of small caps releasing earning these days and with the help of the generosity of this market, we can sure capitalize on some good stuff out there.

First of all, you have to make money on a day like today.   What we said this morning was vital to tackle today.  If you aren't, then there's something wrong with your holdings/strategy.    What's a cure?   Dump the laggards and get into the winners.   Yes, it's that easy.    For us, we only fall in love with a stocks action, never the stock itself.   So if a stocks action gives us headache, we cut it and move on.

Earnings play!    We have stressed enough times that a pre earning run is merely a PRE earning run.    Holding through the earning defeats the purpose of playing the pre-earning run.   This is not a complicated concept but a much useful discipline for DJIM traders.   We don't hold into earnings, period. We just play earnings.  There are quite a few earnings related plays today so we'll go over some of them...This morning we gave our strategy to a few names we'd closely monitor for a potential play...

DXPE, earning came out last night and stocks action delivered today.    What may cause this is the possible fact that the stock did NOT have a typical pre-earning run-up prior to the announcement.  It just had a fews days sandwiched between a so-so day.  The stock price pretty much sat in a flat line since the last earning report and this time it just jumped much like last time.   Like we said before, seasonality factor favours DXPE, BTJ kind of stocks going into the summer.    The action today only further confirms our thesis and we bot some during today's run-up. Our approach was to watch tape, the market reaction after the bell and "go from there".  Soon, it was clear the crowd, the market wanted a piece of DXPE.

RVBD,  "We will play accordingly if we see it has potential to smash that level or if it does". Well as it happened, low $33 area was attacked and we entered into this play. We are not chartists, but one look at the chart today showed and area of tops from Dec to March. Our 'charts for dummies', handbook said if it takes this level, we'd like to play it. The factor of a hot tech market made RVBD an easy choice today.

BTJ, much like DXPE, this one did very well off the earning.   Mood is very positive for this sector and we have no reason to doubt that this one can run much further.     Float is small with this one and it doesn't look like it'll give up its spot on IBD100 list anytime soon. 

What did these 3 have that SILC didn't?. A mixture of sequential growth and good guidance, something SILC didn't.  If reading numbers isn't your game, let the market make the deciding factor for you before you enter a trade.  Simply..you want to be where there is a influx of money going in..not going out. The easiest way to do so is WAIT!.  Also, it is not just about reading the headline numbers.  If that was the case we'd all be buying EML today!

SCHN, oh how we like this steel earning addition to DJIM. Closed up another 6% higher. This is up from $45 when first intro to a high of $53.50ish today.

IDSA, this is and old friend for us that came out with results mid day.    The stock caught on fire b/c of the recent surge in scrap metal stocks and whole sector in general.   What got us more intriguing is the fact that IDSA's IBD number 90 90, prior to the report, is good enough to get on the IBD100 list.   Be caution though, this one is volatile and can turn on a dime.    We do, like the risk/reward of this one at this point given the rosiness of the sector, the market in general and the potential IBD fever attached to it.

PAE, this one was profiled in briefing yesterday but we mentioned it 8 trading days ago b/c of its earning, plus a recent alert on a move on $2.   All we can say it is a beautiful thing to sell our stocks into briefing profiles that get new bait for our already discovered fish!.  This one has gone up nearly 50% ( 1.70 to 2.50 close today) since our Journal on it but you'd hardly notice it b/c of its cheap price and with what's going on with all the other action. " Usually a stock turning the corner on profitability gets some attention sooner than later.  It actually got into IBD's top earning announcements column and might get a look Monday or simply crawl slowly upwards from here.   It can be a complete bore or its numbers and float and price will get some cash into.." DJIM 

MTOX ROS keep on ticking best. Some others we were trading today in smaller sizes and/or closely watching, MFW RCCC CYNO BW(eps in am).

Big Point Gainers...

Yes, the good earning plays are being rewarded with big points lately.   It seems you only have to beat just enough and raise the guidance(not necessarily required) just enough to be rewarded a big push on your earning day.    We love it, and this kind of phenomenon brings back memories of the golden days.    Alright,  so the strategy out there is to catch some of these big gainers once it's confirmed that people "like" their report.     How can you tell?    We figured if by 10 a.m.the stock is still holding up well, we'd be start looking for entry point there.   This may very well mean that we have missed the "best" entry price of the day, but it does ensure us that any entry price we enter would give us that much more probability that we can come out on top.   Why?   The big point gainer theory!    Of course, you still have to trade those stocks with that kind of potential.    If one of the earning plays did not give you a huge run-up, perhaps trying a few of them would work out better.    Keep in mind, we are playing the earnings play here, and these aren't the phase 3 stocks or other type of stories where the stories may only last as long as the time to chew down a snicker bar.     With a earning play, even if you get in at high on earing day, there's still a very high probability that stock continues higher throughout the following days if not weeks..if the market holds up, of course.

Bottom line, trading earnings play (after the earning announcement) is a rather conservative yet highly effective method to trade.   It can also be highly profitable if you trade mostly small caps like we do.    Four times a year, with each earning season lasting a month or two, this would be enough to make it a full time job.  With so many opportunities so far the past week, it just proves in our minds there is no reason to hold through and into the earnings call.  We have great expectations of the DXPE, SYNL, BW, BTJ's to announce great reports after trading them for months , if not already years....But this does not mean we want or will sleep with them the night before they give out their numbers/ guidance.  We practise, 'safe trade' around here, you might say on earning day.

Some plays today...

ALGN VDSI,  we group these two because they both shot up off their respective earning reports.    Volume was great for both and both pretty much spent most of their days flat lining until later on.    We alerted these earlier today and we liked the way they closed.   It wouldn't surprise us that they get some good follow through tomorrow and possibly into next week for some nice gains.

SVVS SSYS WST, these ones are much like the ones above and acted well off their earning reports.    We had to buy these because you never know which one of these will become a great runner.    What we do is keep a close eye on the strength of each one and add/reduce according to their action.    Basically, even for a small size, we just can't afford not to play them.  At todays pace , plus with the usual suspects rocking SYNL DXPE BTJ, we don't have time to do much if any DD on these new names.  We are trading the #'s and action.  We consider them secondary plays at this time and will choose the best in the days ahead to go forward with.

BTJ DXPE, wow these two had great follow through today and especially BTJ.    This is essentially pure momentum at work and we won't argue nor mess with them.

SYNL TRCR,  both notched a new closing high and in the case of SYNL, momentum seems to be really high and we are curious to see how high it goes before it stalls.  The last 4 are definitely the primary earning plays here.

PAE, wow we didn't even think this could be such a huge gainer(% wise) after we alerted it days back.   Of course, Briefing helped our cause but nonetheless the company PR machine is at work. Today, a deal with Sony Entertainment got the name out further. This is just getting too impressive and we'll keep trading it even after selling a chunk off this week.

IDSA,  it might be too cute to think that this one can get onto the IBD100 list with just 2 days left.   Well, technically, it's still possible given the float of the stock and volatile nature of this beast.    What we like about this one is the fact that the sector it belongs in is very hot and coupled with the general rosiness of this market, it's just not unnatural to run this one higher.   It does have good enough IBD number to get into the top 50 at least and we feel it's just a matter of time before it gets added to IBD100 list, provided that it can consolidate around this level.

DJIM #18 2007

NUMBERS, NUMBERS...there's the ECO. which include numbers of the crumbling USD, the poor GDP# number released Friday, the poor housing #'s and then there are the EPS numbers which are fueling the market with money that does not want to be left out of a bullish party.  Which numbers are we concerned about?.   The answer is easy as hot money keeps flooding the market, everyone is chasing the EPS numbers of the giants and now the more speculative, smaller caps instead of worrying about all the eco numbers and what they could be pointing to.  If we had millions, billions maybe we'd be concerned about what the eco numbers are pointing to and that includes slower growth/EPS numbers in Q2 and beyond, instead our goal as always is to capitalize on what we are given today, tomorrow and taking advantage of it fully. Go hard or go home is the premise here recently. You will not need to go hard or stress later in the year, instead you might go on a extended vacation if you are capitalizing on this bull run we are experiencing.  Simply, companies which are producing results, giving a good outlook are being rewarded big time. We can't ask for anything more as this is DJIM's niche!...So enough of the banter, lets get the nitty and gritty and that is the stocks we have our eyes and hands on..

IDSA, we discussed the possibilities of this beast Wednesday night and Thursday we all had a chance to accumulate in the $12's. We are patient and wanted IDSA to maintain some integrity by not finishing the day over $15 and then be prone to a sell off Monday if it was included in IBD so soon.  When we started buying Thursday, all we had hoped for was a decent finish in the $14's come Friday.  IDSA did turn out to be fun, even if an hour or two before we thought on Friday and made a couple of tries at and over $15.  We anticipated a roadblock of sorts at 15, it wasn't major but you have to understand many were happy to get out here knowing many are anticipating this level.  We did some selling in this area as well, 20%+ in a few days was sufficient for now.  Don't forget many got in even lower Wednesday on the results and were willing to sell around $15 for even larger gains.  We are glad to buy any dips and now look forward to IDSA having 5 full days of trading to rock $15 and beyond. The best it could have done Friday was finish in the $15's, but with a week to do some damage we think it has a better chance to go into the high teens in a somewhat orderly manner.

TO, easy symbol, brutal name Tech/ Ops Sevcon..hey but with a 2.2mln float and nice earning you could call yourself whatever you want!. This one has a string of EPS somewhat similar to TRCR with the last being in the mid-to high teens.  It also just put in it's first 10 mln revenue Q like TRCR. There is also 15% institution ownership with a few names we are familiar amongst the holders. This gives this unknown company some respectability. We feel with fast money back in the market chasing an IDSA or two, a play like TO should get some interest in the week ahead. You don't if you don't try!

CMI, guess we'll look at this again but after giving a ride from low $90's to $107 off the opening bell, you'd have to think you are not going to match that any time soon.  So why bother going back right away!. The co' beat expectations and gave a rosy outlook.  That was the spark to ignite what we thought would be a nice short covering in the morning.  As we noted in the forum that morning...more goes into finding a play than the headline numbers in many cases.  It would be too easy if all companies with excellent numbers did the same thing.  CMI had a big run recently due to M&A rumors, these rumors evaporate most of the time and this idea brings in shorts expecting the stock to come back to reality.   Nothing like a kick ass report to get them covering in a hurry.  This was the idea behind the trade for a early morning move.  Anyways this was exciting and you could put this one with the MFW's huge day recently when we gave out a play with something like 20-40k volume before it exploded to record volume and big quick gains.  If you're not pocketing these types of gifts and moving on or recognizing them as an opportunity to jump in as soon as huge momo comes in.... something is wrong.  Also, if you're still scared to buy expensive stocks get over it.  These expensive stocks present incredible opportunities.

VSEA, a semi beat by 3c and guided higher. Not big fans of Semis here for the longest time, but with market the way it is we need to diversify some and see what the bigger names are capable of.  Besides, this one was a nice chart heading into earnings and this weekend moved to #4 on IBD. A few firms already reit it a buy and boosted price tgts.. We bot late, low 69's.

MFW, a familiar name we bot back Friday. It kinda pissed as off as we only had a few shares and were ready to add for days $60-62 and now had to deal with a sipke at the open to as high as $68.  Well..at least we know the Perelman money was smarter than us by picking up $12mln at $60. We like this kind of news and bot mid day off the pullback.

TRCR , quite the nice run in 4 days. We said we'd be looking to sell some if it reached the 14 area. Friday it was 3 plus points over our alert on it and we booked some profits into the weekend.  Nothing wrong here, just the right thing to do. We'll be back.

SYNL ,what can we say about the last 6 trading days, except its a pretty thing. We're all probably enjoying this move.

DXPE, was a casualty Friday but you don't need to be one.  Past knowledge of DXPE volatility puts this move into perspective. It's nothing but profit taking off a 8 point move. One way you might avoid more damage than you need to is set a mental stop in the area of the previous days long stick around that days low and or open. This is not a hard rule but if you had this point in your head it might have saved you a few points Friday. For us as full time traders it is of course easier to exit, if you can't deal with these types moves it is best you stay away...or you just accept them if you like the story and stick with it through the bumps in the road.

A few names for the pillow are acting well, past and present....VE hit 83, HTC near $24, CPY exploded Friday to 60's. These stocks have never seen RED, as in lower than our initial DJIM buy in's ( VE-$68,HTC-$17, CPY-$43) besides returning 20%-40% profits in months.   You can't beat that for a safe crawler. We try to give a bit of everything to satisfy all tastes.

One discussed in the forum early this week kept going creeping up and that is TWIN. ...... Remember SYNL EML were these pillow stocks when first intro'd here.  We can't discuss these much as they trade so thinly day after day, but for those of you with a longer term view on some of your positions these have been or are great stocks so far for under the pillow. An extra screener for these types is best to keep track and visit.  ABM, has pulled off a NCH and a nice weekly chart as well.

Rough day in the office?

Or could this be one of those slow moving, low volume, nobody is in the mood to do anything kind of day?     We think and feel it's the latter.   Even though some earnings plays have pulled back from their Friday's best levels, it is understandable given the weakness in the overall market.   People are allowed to take profit in this market, we suppose..we do and that's why like to be aggressive when the going is good as in the past weeks or two.  Makes selling easier on days like today.  The good thing is, no matter how you spin today's drop, there's no sense of panic or anything close to it.  The best eco number came out today.  After the GDP, many expected this deflator number to blow.  Instead it came just where the Fed would probably want it to be.   Earnings winners are still earnings winner, it has really been only 1 or 2 trading days since some of them reported.    The key for us here, is to stick with the stocks that have reported good earning according to the general public and trade it on the long side.

For now, lets just take this market one day at a time and try not to jump into any conclusion on what may happen the next few days or weeks.

NGA,  this is a classic gap up off the earning play.   We have played this one a few times during the past year and this time is no exception.    The only difference this time, is that the stock traded on literally record volume off this earning report.   To us, this may be a character changing event for this stock.   Is it possible that institutions may give it a legit valuation lift?    We think it's possible based on the stock action today and the overall mood in this sector.    Of course, nothing is for certain but in this case, we give a high probability that this one will build strength on today's action.   Remember the $10 rule for some funds?    We actually bought heavily into today's rise and looking for further strength in this one.  We expected this to sell off after we noted it this morning, the volume was less than 50k and the stock was up 25%.  There is no need to chase as was the case with SYNL recently pre market. This is why we say we watch carefully. Just like SYNL..almost....this opened lower than the pre market high...50c or more lower.   If you believe in the numbers of a co', this is your opportunity to buy lower or wait for confirmation this could be a move higher.  Simply, you wait till the stock shows strength and climbs from low 9's in this example to the premkt highs for an entry, near/above $10.  This is boring to the traders with us, but those less experienced now have two cases of not jumping the gun and getting a nice ride later.  

Q1 EPS of $0.28 vs $0.13 in yr ago period; revs $23.5 mln vs $15.4 mln in yr ago period

TO, you can say that it has outperformed the market today, and you can also say that it closed too far off the intraday high.   We say whatever the case, this one is being discovered more and more by traders.   Once again it made a new high and this will only attract more traders/institutions to take a look at this one.    Of course, without good growth/number, we wouldn't be looking at this one.   Lets just keep our fingers crossed.  We gave this Friday with a half hour to go in the trading in the high $9's, sometimes we are quite surprised some readers are buying high $10's-11 the next day.  If you miss a first leg, sit back and wait for a pullback.   If it gets momo and doesn't happen for you...move on.  There will be others.  Just don't chase as in this case 10-15% higher, if the volume is not momo style.   You need to differentiate the type play and not worry about a pullback from $11+ but learn to accept it.   An IDSA is not a TO,  a TO is maybe a USAT.

IDSA,  4 days till the next publication of IBD100 and we think the odds of this one closing above $15 is very high.    Of course, when the market is down 32 pts, some players will get skittish and cash out.    We are adding some here but not too aggressively.  We blinked today as some cream of the crop decided to place a market sell that took the stock down from 13.60ish to 13.00 in seconds, we think... .remember we blinked but the ladder down was clear.  We guess the panic one thought the roof was caving in on the market and the house of IDSA would crumble with it.   At this point the stock was showing resiliency late in the afternoon,  but one or two crack heads messed up a nice picture somewhat.  We cleaned it up there with others in the low 13's.

Other than some minor pull backs and potential NCH plays that evaporated with the sliding market as eg SVVS we were looking at for more,  we didn't notice a major breakdown in most of closely followed DJIM stocks other than the solars.   You can say, "stick a fork in solars."   That sector looks "officially" done for now and we'd caution people not to be tempted to play for a bounce.  Most are below 9ema, short term support and definitely are of no interest to us still...so don't ask;).    But this was the drift when we were selling the 16th of April the most recent run, the following weekend we said, ... "Solars, volume has declined daily on almost of the players. The short squeeze, momo run is over for now.  We have no reason to test the calm waters....We'll be there when the waters get infested again....."April 22nd.    Hope you've followed...

A few AH blurbs..MTRX going in SP small cap 600, May 1..we're sooo proud..lol.  A recent name here, GMRK ( Gulfmark Offshore), put a nice report out tonight, 19 c better.

Market pulls itself up...

DEFIBRILLATOR anyone?. We're thinking of having one on hand for the new members..;)...Those that have been with us and trading these types know there is no great reward without a little heart stopping activity..lol.. ..In regards to the market tone, if we get scared, we'll tell you as we always have by issuing an alert like in February. Right now everyone is trying to say the market is over bought and bringing in the seasonality factor to scare you out of your positions.  If they are right.....FINALLY!.....and they've been trying for months, we'll gladly go into cash and withstand the punishment others might start to feel while being very selective in our plays.   As far as we are concerned, we go day by day and a pullback eg. on the NASD to 2500 level would be nothing but the perfect retracement to go higher.  If this level breaks down on volume, we might be issuing that alert.  Also, this is earning time and we will have new plays to come even/ if in the worst of times in the next month or so. 

On to today...

It's actually refreshing to see that market did the opposite of what it did yesterday.    That is, instead of turning lower, market managed to turn green later on in the afternoon.     Again, we can't really draw much conclusion from this move.    It's actually been a very mixed day, when it comes to our DJIM stocks.   Some stocks were hit earlier but managed to reverse and closed well but a couple of stocks did not seem to be affected by this market, one way or the other.     We are keeping our eyes on all of our recent earning plays and will decide to see what sort of action we'd take on them next few days.  

TRCR, this one actually bucked the trend earlier and stayed strong throughout the day.   The action today actually surprised us a little b/c we didn't expect fast momentum to come from this one out of all of the plays we'd covered last few days.  lol    We are not complaining though.   However, it remaines to be seen if it can get some serious momentum.    We do prefer a slower and steadier move with this one though. We sold most the other day and are only trading it at this point when a possible move is seen.

NGA, wow this one is volatile, to say the least.    We do like the ending action though.   Basically, it gives confidence that people are still very much into this one.   Hopefully this one consolidates a little here and forms a strong base so we get to much higher prices.

IDSA, is another that held up well today in the early going. Volume has been low the last couple of days while holding these levels. A good sign as potential sellers seem to want to stick around and see if this makes a run late in the week for IBD.  It won't take much to push it from this range over the hump.  Notice the last 3 days on chart, you can almost draw a perfect triangle > with today's close at 13.50 right in the middle.  Basically, the range got tighter today and something has to give.   A few of the things mentioned above makes us think this will go higher this week.

ALGN, this one battled back from yesterday's weakness and it's very close to a new high.    We are looking to see if some of the other earning play can pull a similar move within the next few days. Hey, if you got a think for teeth, there is ADPI today.  We like but want to see what the secondary earnings names we've mentioned have in them first.

BTJ, this one is being like btj.   We just need a strong stomach when it comes to dealing with its moves. lol.   We discussed DXPE the other night, BTJ is no different and same rules apply.  If you are starting a position the last few days, you are only trading it and should be jumping further in these moves. 5 pts off low today.  If you bought the earnings and like the story heading into the summer, stay strong....if it's not in you....move on.

The last few days we've had some intraday swings in the market, potential plays either don't materialize like yesterday or some get more juice like CPY did today...so take them as what they are and that is leads, keeping in mind the overall market conditions.  Simply the chance of a stock breaking out as it nears a playable area is thrown out the window (like SSVS approaching recent highs), if the market panics and reverses as we saw yesterday.

CPY, Sunday we brought it up because it exploded Friday to new highs.  Today you saw the significance of updating your screeners with stocks near highs.  Today's range was 57.51 to 66.62 on volume surpassing Fridays...9 potential pts worth to play inside of. This is a lead that materialized at 2pm as it popped another 3 pts after our note on it.  Something is up here, we don't know what but it is bringing in momentum.  We're trading it in small sizes today. Speculation can die off quickly so care is needed here.

Is it Friday yet...

Now we know where the Bulls are refueling these days to push this market higher and higher...by the looks of it is at BWLD and CMG!..lol.  We won't go further tonight on the indices as that pretty well covers it,  we've bantered enough the last few days about remaining Bullish.  The favorable bias returned yesterday afternoon and continued nicely into today.

CPY, the incredible run continued today with a gap open of a couple points and a dash for $79. Yepper, thats about 22 points since Sundays note on it...or 16 more points to play within since yesterdays alert note.  Either way you slice it was time to get out of this ride.  We said something was up last night....somehow, the news today of CPY buying up another co' in bankruptcy for 100mln today doesn't totally gel with us for the rocket trip.  We say this only because when we had this here in the low $40's there was some quiet speculation that CPY was going to be taken out.  We'll give it a breather and watch if it can do more...but with 700k volume it could have blown its top today.

VOXW, we knew from watching this trade previously it could be a wild ride and therefore gave a warning of sorts. The reason was evident in the first 5 minutes of trading as it went from $4 to $8, lol.   Once the rush was over, it actually traded well and gave plenty of opportunity to buy between $6-7 before a trip to nearly $9.  What we knew about this company was its tiny float and it's ability to run.  Many probably looked at the Yahoo line and thought it had 6mln float and so it is probably still passed by some.  We think the float is 1/6 of that or so.  Throw in this line, Q1 EPS of $0.10 vs ($0.34) ir yr ago period; revs $3.62 mln vs $1.87 mln in yr ago period and we thought we had one for the traders here.  It actually calmed down and stuck to a range most of the day without any big sell off on profit taking.  We traded it and kept some end of day and we will monitor closely if it has some legs or not.

MA, every Q we talk about picking this up, this time we did with idea of getting into the 130's with it.  We expect more than a 10% gap with it and think it will squeeze to 130's as it's more than 10% short.  The report was a blowout but of course the shorts will look to the economy prospects to try to knock it down.  Hey, if BWLD and CMG still take MA, we'll take some MA for a starter.

ADPI, noted last night, showed it's pearly whites today for another possible 2 point day.

What you have now is new earning plays taking center stage while ones as recent as last week are consolidating their early gains.  So be on your toes for fresh names every day.   Sooner than later, the earlier names will begin to move if the market keeps humming along.  There was excellent action in small caps/ RUT today, but a few names we are holding didn't join in.  Not the first time our DJIM stocks behave like the Black Sheep only to come out strong the next day...we'll see if that's the case with IDSA, NGA...maybe they just have a IBD attitude problem and want to play on their own terms.  We do think for the most enthralled by these to understand you're missing opportunities if this all you have now.  We know the crushes some get on high reward plays with speculation of IBD attached, it is also never a bad idea to not forget the risk still attached to these trades.   If you've been asking all week, "Is it Friday, yet" because you're waiting for IDSA to move, you might be heading for a disappointment come Friday 4pm with some opportunities missed in other places as well.

It's still not Friday....lol

We are definitely a bit tired from the trading last couple of days.    For a little while yesterday, we were wondering why some of the little ones weren't participating with the recent market move.    Well, that was no longer a concern early on today.   Like we said last night sometimes DJIM stocks like to do it on their own terms and "come out strong the next day" after a day of non rally participation.  The little ones, namely NGA 17% to high of day and IDSA 16% to high, both had very good days...no sorry... excellent days! and we are just glad they are behaving exactly the way we wanted them to.     What we are also being amazed by, is the resiliency of this market.   Earning plays, as long as they beat or guide up, are being bid up aggressively.    We haven't seen this much enthusiasm even during the winter quarter.

Whatever it is,  both institutions and retail clients are making money in this market.    This is a good thing.    We at DJIM, try to play a little bit of everything and try not to exclude ourselves from any potentially good opportunities.  This is also because we have a diverse group of members/ traders.   You'd see us playing a $100 stock as much as a under$10 dollar cheapie.   Why is it so?  We just can't rule out any possibility that a $100 play may give u as big of a bang for the buck as a $9 play.     As for our readers, we'd try to give as many heads up as we can regarding various good plays based on our experience.  Today, we tossed in a scalp possibility in GTI, still a earning play for traders tossing nice dollars and sizes around. This was a 2-3-4% possible trade.  Experienced traders can recognize the action and decide when to go in and out quickly, so a lead is all that is needed to something that might be playable.

Now lets get to the nitty gritty of things...

NGA,  small stocks attract the most attention and it's no exception at DJIM.   Briefing had a little profile yesterday but we wouldn't call it a most optimistic summary.   In any case, the stock rallied hard today and action today looked inevitable based on previous days' action.    What's driving this is the possibility of an IBD100 inclusion.    This is still quite a far way off.   However, as long as the attitude and mentality is to trade toward $15 level, we'd know exactly what to expect and how to deal with it here.    This NGA, also had smells of institutions stepping in, based on volume.   Whether those institutions are hedge funds or mutual funds or momentum based short term funds, we don't care.   It IS in play and that's the way it is.   We just have to take advantage of this liquidity and trade it in sizes.    Oh yes, trading in sizes does matter a lot in terms of potential profit and losses.     Generally, when a stock has strong momentum and trade in liquid fashion, we tend to take on bigger size and ride them higher.

IDSA, so what's next?    Hopefully, some of you have locked in some profit from the previous days' accumulation.  We're sure most would have been happy seeing mid 15's by Friday close!.   Why sell now you ask?  We say, why not?  We've been saying 12-13's are where we are buying for days now.  If the whole point of playing IDSA at this point is IBD100 theme, then you can't help but to think that the end might be near once it IS included in the list.    If somehow the trading characteristic of IDSA changes after the IBD100 inclusion, then we just have to change our approach a bit and trade accordingly.    For now, we are treating it as just an IBD inclusion play.

MA, wow is a good description and this is the reason why we are playing some of these 100 dollar stocks. Up 7% or  8 pts since yesterdays buy in. We added some early today on its strength and  are looking for further upside as long as the market is in a good mood.  We got what we talked about in the Journal and have decided to hold and add more despite it hitting our target of getting in 130's!.

SPAN, we covered this buy-in pretty well in Alerts section and we are very happy with its move to $26 today and about 5% off the Alert time. We knew about this one for a while but the action was too slooooow. Now we have had 3 consecutive days of 90k+ volume up days and this stock must be getting on some screens and being discovered as an earnings gem with a tidy mini float.  Still, don't forget stocks don't go straight up though for days!.

Anyways...Great day whatever you are trading here! ....A few for freaky Friday below..

DNDN, timing is really everything when it comes to this one.   Some of you can argue that you had this one in your portfolio for days and you knew it's gonna go up all along.   We say that's just as fine.   But to us, we used the capital to played all those big point gainers while some ppl are waiting in the flatlined action from DNDN last few days.   No biggie, it's just opportunity cost.   To us, we wait for the right moment and strike.   We struck today late and have held our shares overnight.   Hopefully we get some good follow through tomorrow and ring the register.

CROX, this one is almost sure a gapper for tomorrow and we bot a couple in AH just so we are in the groove as well.  The guidance is just crazy!

Also a small position in CUB at the close to test out the waters.  Maybe this blowout number gets some upgrades in the next couple of days and breaks recent high. It's not flyer, but they all don't have to be.

DJIM # 19 2007

" Go hard or go home", off last weekends Journal held through and true this past week.  Opportunities are abound and this recent activity has been the time to take advantage of what we are being given by the market gods and what we are giving you.   We look forward to more of the same this week.   Fingers crossed!.   By the looks/ feel of it, only outside influence from abroad can curb this enthusiasm we are seeing.  So keep your eyes on the markets overseas for any hints.  This way we could all say, FIFO..first in, first out.  Until this possibility or some other event occurs, we will keep on riding the earning reports and more.  Last week, we had another fun trip...NGA, IDSA, MA, SPAN, a few nice tradable opp's in DNDN, VOXW, GTI.  Clearly DJIM is being selective and getting into right plays!   Also a few late in the week pick ups with potential in FSLR, CROX, we hope they have a good market to show its true deserving colors.   What's important to remember is what we've discussed before and that is having cash on hand to buy.   Sometimes this means even cutting a EPS laggard after a day or so,  just so you could get into a better play.   We are even doing this as the number of stocks has grown in our book recently and we'd like to keep it manageable .  We don't want too many, we only want the best possibilities!!.   Examples of this might be a VSEA, CUB type.  Their day might come, but if a CROX shows up after you just pick up a starter in a CUB the same day, it is better to ditch the CUB to the curb.   If you already made 7pts in a MA in a few days, there is probably a better chance you'll get something close to 7 points elsewhere faster again,  so switch up to a fresher expensive name in this market for now and consider coming back to the play left behind if it behaves right later.... 

....so now the names crossing the DJIM wire...

SPAN, a crawler being discovered is just what this is. A nice pick up last week and quick but steady 2 day rise of 10%/ nearly 3pts to highs.  Overall a 30% move on the week and some hesitation, consolidation might be in order. #5 rank in IBD leading Medical stocks with 90 97 this weekend.

DNDN, definitely this was worth the wait for a 'strike' and the timing was perfect. You could almost see it coming as it traded to $19 AH's Thursday.  We concluded Thursday Journal note on DNDN with 'ring the register'.   If you didn't on a potential 3 point move or 17% on a speculative stock play...well that's just silly.  It was only the 4th of May...the15th is approaching and we will look for another ring the register entry possibility as that day nears.

FSLR, ...NO!..we are not playing the solar sector here just yet again,  we are trading the FSLR on the heels of its earning and guidance.  Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $0.07 per share, $0.07 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of ($0.00); revenues rose 391.9% YOY to $66.9 mln vs the $52.8 mln consensus. Sees FY07 revs of $370-$400 mln vs $326.97 mln consensus.  Simply FSLR is clicking in its execution and capacity ramp ups behind closed doors and this can't be overlooked.  We don't know what ASTI or the likes have cookin', so we go back to our favorite from this space last Q.       We bot in the afternoon as the stock started to take out the days high levels over $66.

RCCC, this was a earning play we've been looking to add again for some time.  We added late Friday.  The co' already pre-released their Q1 back on April 16 and has Bear Stearns riding a upgrade on it.   The co's call was only Friday and w/o listening to it, we'd say there was nothing negative said judging by Fridays potential breakout move.

CROX,  with a gap over $10, we really didn't expect to see more covering just yet on the first day.  It will come and we expect nothing less than to be in the 70's here soon market willing.   Maybe it will be as soon as Monday, if it does as our MA holding on its 2nd day.  To our member wearing CROX while trading, consider the static generated by CROX's is knocking out respirators in Swedish hospitals...watch your trading platform!!

ATV,  if the market is hot , we expect IPO's to feel quite fuzzy as well, even if this sec ain't the hottie now.  There is always or will be an appetite for China IPO's and we can't overlook this one after DJIM successes with EDU, MR, HMIN in 2006-07.   This is already 2X over IPO price.  Let it sink in first, if you are wanting more than a trade possibility now.  We are trading it now.  The company runs TV direct sales programs, which are typically five to ten minutes in length, on four nationwide China Central Television, or CCTV, channels, 28 national satellite TV channels, four international satellite channels operating in China and eight local channels.

NGA,  definitely one of the best gainers/ buy in of the week by DJIM early Monday.  This one does not always trade as pretty as it did last week, we expect some dippers along the way as this makes a possible move into IBD100 life.   Again, we are playing the potential IBD inclusion with these types, not the aftermath of sticking on the list at first.  We'll decide on stocks making IBD when it happens for a further trade possibility.

TO, you have to accept these plays act up in spurts and make sure not to be taken out with the gyrations on little volume.  If it goes up a dollar quickly, it could do the same the other way before going back back up.   Patience is required on these types that don't have much history if you decide to enter them.   Volume is an issue..day to day.   Anyways,  a nice move off 9ema and a NCH, Friday.    Keep VOXW on radar for these types of moves and not necessarily off 9ema, it could be just a PR of some sorts that rockets it again. 

IDSA, hopefully you played it like us and are sitting free of it this weekend.  If you didn't cash out with another late day opportunity over $15 Friday, well then you don't wanna hear this again, "you might be heading for a disappointment come Friday 4pm with some opportunities missed in other places".  It was quite disappointing from a distance looking in on this, not only did not close over $15, it was a feeble effort to do so late in the day.  On the hand,  it was also a disappointment it didn't crash late in the day off the 'exclusion' of not even holding $15, so we could buy back in the $13's and do it all over again next week..lol.    We might just have to anyway!.   Instead it was last months, IBD inclusion play at DJIM, SPEC showing it up and taking IDSA's thunder and making it to #25. 

Other earning names from this Q, we have secondary scattered positions or trading/ eyeing still...VSEA, NTLS, WST, SSYS, CUB, ADPI, ALGN, TRCR to go with usual suspects  BTJ, DXPE, MFW *EPS out Friday AH, CPY.  This pretty well rounds out our trading crop this Q.  

Keep an eye on GROW in the morning off EPS....with Gold being up up as much as 15%(approx) this year at one point, you'd think they had influx of funds into their precious metals last Q and would produce a kick ass report.   But, we are not here to think, we are here to 'DO' and act. So we wait for the report.

Yeah..Yeah our Raps lost..great game! ....but our Raptor claw logo has taken a chunk of the market while up and we ain't messin' or are we knockin' the little good luck charm off the site for now!...

Shakedown..

'Breakdown....Takedown....Everybody wants into the crowded line... Breakdown....Takedown...You're busted...Let down..your guard..blah blah ..you're busted!".  Yeah, we're humming a guys tune who probably already had a beard when we born!.... but hey, what's the ruckus today?..We still in the loop.  Cheer up, it's not the end of the world!.   You know what was looking like the end of the world?....

The market being up something like 24 of 28 days!!.   What percentage is that?.   Sure , ain't Shaq's free throw percentage!.  The point is simple, what the "Disney" did you expect to happen sooner than later as we ran the market higher and higher.  Today should not be a shock to any of us. If you've ridden the DJIM plays recently, you are probably safely out by today anyway on most positions with nice gains..   But seriously, if the market shakedown scared you today, you still had a perfect storm to exit with gains in tow today.   Why...you say?

Let's see DOW down 147, NASDAQ down 43.   What really stunk the DJIM joint out?    Well, percentage wise it was NGA!.    But, we've all expected and actually welcomed a decent fall after this 40% run with DJIM hands all over it..   This was going to happen, no matter if the market got smacked or not today.   NGA was prime for it.   Besides the NGA bit,   there was not much damage to anything you might be holding off DJIM. You still could walk away today all in one piece if that's your choice.

FWLT  TNH  SPAN  CPY  FTK  IDSA  FSLR  KRSL  ADPI  are some recent DJIM names traded that managed to post green end of day.  Tomorrow..all these can get the smackdown and other barely reds like TRCR  LXU  MA  HAYN  NTLS (1% or lower) might as well.    What you had today is exit opportunities to leave with almost all of your recent gains in these names.   The next day you might not!.     Be it tomorrow or any other time in the market, if you survive one day...you might not the next if the slide continues.    What we hate is to be part of any domino effect, so today we did some selling into this orderly action of our closely followed/held stocks.  We don't want to blow the past months of good work out the window.   Safe than sorry heading into a weekend at this point.   Still...there was no action in any DJIM recent play that money screamed get me out of here...fast! .  We like the group we are covering at this time and will monitor closely as always.

As full time traders, we look to end of day for some fire sales on our favorite winners lately.  We've talked about buying a pullback for days on NGA...last night the last.    What we said today in the forum as it traded $13.80-14.00 from it's highs, is the market conditions today basically stamped out a chance for a orderly pullback and buy possibility that we expected from it before weeks close.   If the market (NASD) is down 20 points,  we do not know if panic will set in on any individual stock and take it down further.   We can't buy such a fresh pullback as NGA hung around $14 at 2pm!.   As a trader member pointed out minutes later, "would rather buy a pullback within the context of a stronger market day... Opportunities are made up easier than losses.".    Minutes later NGA crumbled to 13.20.   So how do you know when a pullback is sufficient?...is it the one down to $13-8-14.00 or will there be another as later today to 13.20?....We simply don't know and we're not going to guess at $14 with a falling market.    Basically, why play with fire as the market starts to crisp and burn.   Simply, we wait till end of day to decide if we want any.   We do it with strong stocks to buy in or add more and this is still the way we go if considering to recycle a recent big winner on a dip.   End of day.    Yes, we picked up small amounts of LXU, NGA  end of day.  This is nothing in size to when we were playing these recently.  We all should have enjoyed these 2 runs, we are not blowing it away with a substantial position now on a dip in a falling market today.    If any sign of momentum comes Friday in NGA, we'll be there in sizes again.    Call it another starter to monitor today, that's all!.   Still, the issue with NGA should not be if it catches a pullback and heads to $15 tomorrow.  What's 13s-low 14's to 15's at this point when the play has been here since a premkt alert at 9+ and soon after buy in low $10's. If you won big from low 10's already, what's the rush now?. Let it sink in and let it show a definite change in trend.  Is this a possible secondary leg coming up?.   Was this the retracement we were waiting for?.   We'll know soon enough (Friday).  We just went through IDSA remember, so you know what can happen.  What it might do at /if $15+ is a whole new different leg and we'll decide then how to approach it.

For those new here, our Aert-Comments are either our buy-ins or leads we are considering for a buy.  Today was a nice combo to an alert from Monday on FRPT to go with our buy in alert on SPAR today.  Both had stellar days in a bad market and were involved in the same contract.  Yeah looks like Cramer gave a hand to our pick ups again today.   We were oblivious to who or what or why...we just saw momentum happen at different times today for these names.  The idea was here Monday following the Armor Holding M&A activity for a look at  FRPT with its chart, today it paid off as FRPT and the company making the chassis (SPAR) for it all won. SPAR last trades at 31.60-32 AH. 

DJIM #20 2007

Rundown of DJIM's closely followed heading into Mondays trade...

TNH, definitely one the big winners on the week with a 24% pop.  We profiled Terra Nitrogen, fertilizer maker, back on April 8th (DJIM #15/#16), we said if you catch it on the right side, it could be quiet the ride. The right side has been now with Nitrogen in great demand and because of NG pricing.   The stock closed at $95, up over $30 since April notes.    Remember, she can be the volatile one and the higher she goes, the higher the chances of seeing greater volatility.

NGA,  though this one did not finish over $15 as per IBD requirement,  it might as well have finished above it to ease the suspense.     So is this more than and IBD play or not?   At this point, who really cares?    As long as the volume + price action do not die down, we are going along with it.   What we feel is that there are momentum hedge funds behind the work of this one which explains the consistent volume.   We like this one because of its relative liquidity compared to some of the other low priced IBD plays.    Why does it matter?   For those of us who trade more than a couple of thousand shares at a time, this is the kind of action that can get you in and out with relative ease.   What we are watching out for is the blow off top volume, as a warning sign.   So far, so good!. Our note pre market indicated some selling might come off the insider selling news.  This happened and provided a nice dip into the $12's early on.    Hopefully, some were able to get more there or low's $13.   The fact this occurred probably held NGA off $15 for now..   Why?.    If you bought high $12's, very low $13's Friday, would you not have sold at the high $14's if you loaded up in the morning???.  We did some.   Once this moved beyond $13.50ish, you knew new money would be coming in so not to miss the run to $15 and above.   No better place to sell for someone making a morning buy in the 12's- low 13's, don't you think?.     We're patient.    IDSA now NGA.  In so many ways this played out just like IDSA last week.    Hopefully, you were prepared to trade it smartly after last week.

IDSA   so the stock made it to IBD#43, a week later than it was "supposed" to.  Lol   Well, things will definitely get more interesting from here.   We think the exposure of IBD does bring more positive things to a stock than not.   It actually brings this one to many more traders' attention.  The OS/float definitely stands amongst the IBD 100 names.    As long as this one is getting more exposed, it's unlikely that the play goes away anytime soon.   We are using our usual approach with this one from now on and look for new highs as an excuse to add and 9 ema as key support.  Simply, the traders gut told us this was the one under $15 that was going to get riled up friday in our morning note.   We added in forum the night before to a IDSA question..Needs volume!.  We pointed out volume was at the previous days high quiet early, Friday. This was indication to us more was to come and a good chance this was going to take IDSA beyond $15+.

FWLT, wow is the word to describe the action in this one.  In our opinion, this is the kind of stock that's much much easier to play compare to NGA, IDSA and definitely the SIF's of the world.   Why?   This one is a liquid monster, an institution's heavy play.   Even as retail trader, we have no problem of going big in size and playing with the big boys.  You can't do this on a SIF type.   Of course, if you have a smaller sized account, this one still provide lots of fireworks even for small lots.  For every 100 share lot at $78, this made you $1800 in a few days.  Again, we say, don't back away from the expensive plays such as this and the MA's so easily.... As we tried to point out, we felt FWLT had more short term upside potential from the pre-mkt prices of FWLT ($78) compared to TRT's (19.50).   Based on closes Friday, FWLT is up 22% and TRT is 12% from that  possible morning buy-in and has been way more liquid to trade.

LXU, this recent DJIM pick up is gaining traction and starting the ride the coattails as many are starting to see it as a Ag play.  Their chemical biz seems to be thriving as seen by EPS results and it's definitely one of our favorites.   The ticket here to consider!. POTash is around $200, TNH, is near $100 and if I might have missed the ride, maybe my only only logical cheap play here might be LXU??.   Hmmm.    It is in top 5 performers in the Agriculture section of IBD movers.   Besides, there is a new #1 IBD Industry Group and it is Agriculture and Fertilizer...really, we're not fertilizing you!

SPAR, this pick up pre market the other day at $30 was a quick bump to high of $32.70.  We sold some Friday into the Cramer push and later picked some up cheaper again.  Selling into strength generated by outside influences, such as Cramer is a no brainer.  This one falls into another sector that is thriving.   We were watching this angle since AH takeover by bringing FRPT into the DJIM fray Monday. SPAR is intertwined here as they are the chassis maker dealing with FRPT.

CPY, we put this CPY back out at $80 Friday on alerts as a buy in again.  It manged to climb another $3 bucks higher at one point.  Just keeps on ticking and it is more than the retail investor buying 100 lots here that is still driving this higher at these levels.

TRT,  we are holding some TRT but on a short leash to see if a IBD crush comes.  The play here started back in 2006 based on EPS and their China connection starting what we thought would fuel this compnay.  We played it now for another 2 Q's  and this is the first Q that we saw revenue slow down.  It was actually a tad lower sequentailly and Product reveune dropped some 20% sequentially.    So has the Asian buzz hit a wall as these numbers might indicate?.    At this point after 3 excellent Q's,  you should not be looking at YOY Q numbers here,  but sequential growth.   If this was a big Semi name that showed no sequential revenue growth,  besides the under 300k in net income, it would likely been a ho-hum report as analysts would not be looking at YOY if they had been placing estimates on the stock for this Q.    They would have looking at the 3 previous Q's since we've been following it and their expectations would be based on that!.   Simply , sequentail reveune growth has been curbed some it seems for now.   $6.4>  9.5>  9.9> 14.06 and now 13.6mln in revenue for the last 5 Q's.    An advantage of no analysts covering a DJIM stock is seen here.  The problem is the company gives no guidance, so you don't know if the revenue has hit a peak and if EPS next Q might hit a snag as well.   Anyways, we're in for some, this just ain't one of our top holds at this time.  We'll see how it starts to play out early in the week.

SPAN, a May pick up( profiled in Alert sec), is the little engine that could, a slight pullback mid week and then a NCH to close out the week.

SIF, a hot market definitely brings out hot money in the micro caps. At this point anything new is beng chased up if the headline numbers stick and we joined in with some of you for a quick trade.   Definitely, some of you guys got more out of it than us!.   Great!.   With so many plays on our plate Friday, we left this while the exuberance was high and while it was still possible trade the bigger lot sizes to make it worthwhile.  We don't know if that will be the case by mid-week, if we wanted to sell a big lot hold at a decent price.  Time will tell.   You see, some plays are taking EPS to a different level in this market, as in potential one Q wonders being run as if they will be what TRT, BTJ, DXPE, NGA in the beginning of their cycles.  Those companies were turning around and you could see by their growth figures.  Not only YOY growth, but sequential revenue/EPS growth as well.   This is how companies become IBD inclusions.  We see pretty stagnant revenue growth Q over Q's at SIF with one good EPS Q under it's belt now.   There is no saying this company can pull off another going forward, despite being in a good sec.   We don't see it as 2 Q's with upside EPS, last Q was almost all government grants income that made up the EPS #.  We're not knocking the company, we're just saying it's not for everybody to trade here, especially if thinking one EPS Q will make it the next NGA, BTJ, DXPE etc.  This simply means for those considering playing SIF starting Monday,  be careful if thinking this almost 100 year old co' will become a solid player into the next few Q's.   DJIM members need to differentiate the type of plays conducive to their style and abilities.  This is all we are pointing out here.   For those giving it a run....keep pushing and we might be back to help out.   IBD numbers are on equal terms to TRT's and made it on Aerospace IBD hot list this weekend.  Institution holdings are about 25% in this name, if their Blackberry's were not working overtime selling Friday, this upcoming week might get some of it.  If the shares get in retail hands, who knows what can happen in a happy market.  Will leave it to the speculators for now and concentrate on companies producing revenue, EPS growth Q after Q.

CROX FSLR TRCR ADPI HAYN NTLS MA SYNL, all behaving fine after being followed closely here following their EPS this Q.

HDNG TWIN FTK  added to IBD or moving up as in HDNG case after EPS #'s last week.

This market is moving clearly off the earnings of S&P co's, small caps etc. and we at DJIM definitely are simply in the right niche at the right time!

DJIM #21 2007

Sitting Bull wasn't basking in his laurels, recent victories come Friday. Instead, he and has band of M&A and buy back share brothers decided to charge signaling yet more accumulation. Once again the army of bears didn't have the muster to do anything to curtail this frenzy buying.  So we march forward and with every stoppage in play, we continue to expect the ways of the Bull to keep us going with MSFT-AQNT type hoopla creeping into the market. So that's the big world, what's happened in our little world, niche. Well, what can be better than having 3 closely followed DJIM make it to IBD this weekend. Not to shabby to have three (NGA-TBSI-GTI), be the top three new inclusions at # 5,9,26.  Hey even Curlin our sentimental Derby pick, stuck it's nose out with a flurry in the Preakness this weekend.  So..all good seemingly as we head into the week after what appeared as distribution earlier in the week. Still the NASD and small cap indices finished lower on the week and this is the ho-hum in the market that continues to concern us.  Maybe this time these market players play catch up this upcoming week. A hunch is they do.  Also, keep the big oils up as we head into Memorial day. Stocks like OXY, SLB, UPL should do better than the small cap names in this sector because bigger caps have been the leaders. If there is big money wanting to play this sector, it should go to stocks like these. On the charts, these look great and when called for, we like to trade these names.

KHDH, was a new buy in for us. The co's earnings for the most recent Q came out early last week and are up in the Alert section. We've had our eye on it for awhile and this earning as seen by its 2 days with 100k+ volume it got noticed.  We 'll look to add on dips or further strength. This trades in a fashion similiar to a CPY type and so it is possible to do both.  IBD composite rating is at 97.  This might suit the investor who has picked up our May buy in plays like RCCC, NTLS, CUB, SPAN, AFAM.  A few companies that don't get the recognition here on a daily basis because they are just nice and steady plays that you can't say much about on a daily basis.  Speaking of...lets give some of our secondary plays spotlight for a change. They are not secondary for those that can't watch like a hawk the faster plays day in day out from DJIM. These holders are doing just as fine this month without the diet of Pepto.

RCCC, touched on 29.70 from the May 4th buy in at 26.50ish levels(12%). Trades nicely a $1 above the 9ema for the last few weeks. Not much you can say about it steadiness, except watch the 9ema as a guide.

NTLS, also an early may pick up in the higher 22's as another wireless play a la RCCC.  Just like RCCC this EPS play closed with a NCH at 24.4 and is gliding on air just above the 9ema. A possible 8% is nothing to sneeze at in a couple of weeks.

CUB, a buy-in low 22's off earning popped to a $24.30 close Friday. Just another 10% play so far. As much as we like to play the NGA's,IDSA's, there is nothing like patting an account with consistent steady 10% plays.

AFAM has bounced from 20's to 24 since our premkt earnings note May 8th. 7 bucks off highs is only 3 now.

FWLT CROX MA LXU GTI TBSI SPAN SPAR IDSA MR MTOX, other prominent May DJIM plays that we are trading at different times depending on set ups and market conditions.  As far as TRT, FWLT has definitely been the play as its stands 20% above that premkt intro.  Meanwhile, TRT nests back to 9-14ema and at 19 is below 19.50 premkt initial price off EPS. Quite a few of you did not like our stance on TRT after its earning. After our full write up last week it declined 15%,-5 straight down days, we hope you had a change of heart if we saved you a buck or two. Is it going to bounce or is going to fill some of the gap?

NGA, okay... so this followed the script since we first alerted/ bought into at $10, April 30th. The stock traded to high 15's all last week and the suspense was over for us at that point.  The only suspense came back in the last 15 minutes or so Friday, actually it wasn't suspense but a 'you better get there' plea. The inevitable finally happened and now we see if this was only a IBD inclusion play or not?  In other words, will this have the kick to get to the 20's split time. We'll see if the 100k+ comical push in the last 3 minutes will be a forward to a dump-eroo in the morning now that it made it on. Of course, we hope it finishes with a new closing high and continues to be in play.  Consider the flight of IDSA, SPEC recent additions to IBD100.  The following highs on Monday have not been reached again.  We were not warning on Friday, we are only throwing caution to the wind after a possible 50%+ run here.  We see no reason to blow 'any' of the profits generated in the month off NGA and have walked away with plenty in the high 15's already.  It makes little difference to us that we are at those same prices Friday AH's.  We'd be no better off yet if we hadn't sold off most earlier.  Still we have some and most likely will sell into any morning strength and then re-position if further strength is shown during the day or days ahead.

Carnage in the far east...concentrated

Fortunately, the damage in Shanghai did not spill over to North America.  On the contrary, we actually had a pretty good day for a lazy summer session and many DJIM type of stocks were particularly shiny today.   If the market was to get a shake, you'd have seen the beginning premarket.  Nothing of that sort happened as the FXI stayed calm and a few Chinese stocks were actually green. Instead of any housecleaning, we were buying most of the day.  Does today's action mean it's a sign of things to come?   We'd like to hope so but we aren't wagering all of our eggs in anticipating anything.    Basically, our game plan is not to get too over our heads in worrying about the big market movement, but rather, focus on individual plays and sectors that are attracting hot and momentum money.    Afterall, we are not economists that emphasize on theory which goes into the far future but we are traders that focus on the live battlefield level action day in and day out.    There are quite a few interesting plays today, so we are not going to waste anymore time and just go right into them...

TBSI, this is a play that we have been involved in the last couple of weeks or so.    What we really liked about this play is its text book style of action.   Sure, it doesn't have the heart pounding NOVC like of action but this one gave us the kind of setup that most traders would be happy for.    This one built a beautiful flag pattern last little while and it shot up today and closed near the high, with some good volume.    This is the kind of play we love b/c not only it gave us enough time to get in during the setup, but we are also able to built up a comfortable position that mattered in a very controlled, conservative, and highly probable way. A nice 5-6% day.

KMGB, this one came to our attention before the market opened and we immediately put it on our watchlist.  We actually put this one up back in 2005 and it doubled by the next morning.  That was its first stellar EPS Q.  Today it came out with earning that not only beat the analyst's estimate by a nice margin, but looked very good year over year, and sequentially, by our book.    After further checking its IBD number (92 98 now), we just couldn't help but start buying up shares.    Now, every once in a while you get a high calibre, high momentum IBD play that gets lots of traders' attention and we think this one is a very good candidate, after NGA that is.

ATLS AHD, a few weeks ago ATLS came on our radar after it acquired some assets and made a nice move. On the weekend, we had put AHD on our watch for the week because the chart made a NCH and was related to ATLS.  Before the open this all came together in a different way, the idea behind these names and a trade on news.  ATLS, which owns partner units of AHD announced the APL (Atlas Pipeline, LP), had made agreements to acquire assets of Anadarko and then Atlas Pipeline would distribute $$ per limited partner unit and increase distribution....LOL. Confused?. Hell yeah and all this doesn't mean anything to us!.  All we know is this was another 1 billion asset deal that was liked once, so why shouldn't it be once again. The fact the charts were prime and the trading action called for an entry in our book.

LPHI, this one definitely caught some wild fire after it guided up intraday. Early this year, we put this one up after a good EPS Q to look at. We wondered if a life settlement stock can actually get that sexy look.  It didn't for traders, but quietly it had almost doubled since.  We really couldn't speculate the true effect today until after the initial excitement settled down. This one can have some whacky spreads.  When it looked like there isn't any sign of pullback, basically there's only one place to go and that is up.   We are also trading this one aggressively. Co sees Q1 EPS to be approx $0.49 per share vs $0.11 single analyst est compared with earnings of $0.05 per share for the same period last year. The co also expects Q1 revs to be approx $17.5 mln vs $8.4 mln single analyst est compared with revenues of approx $6 mln last year.

TNH, after about three weeks of consolidation, we think this one is ready to break out again or at least test the high area.    Yes, it's a $90 dollar stock and we aren't discriminating any stocks that we feel have the potential to pull a good move. We all know the power of the MA, CROX, FWLT expensive plays now, don't we!.  We are monitoring the action closely. The mid May high is around 92.50 after the sell off.  Today was the first day it closed over 90 since.

There were quite a few new positions /stocks taken today.  This shouldn't take the spotlight away from this Q's DJIM plays that had a very good day.  TRCR +14%, CUB +6%, RCCC 3.9%, IDSA +4%, GTI +2%.  Not bad for a day the DJIA up 8pts and the NASD up 4pts.

.6 .6 .6%

Guess we should take those % gains from the DJIA/SPX/NASD yesterday as a sign from the devil that we are going to have a down day to follow.  It wouldn't be a surprise, but on the other hand that is what most expected yesterday and we just didn't get it.   The herd was playing catch up and the profit taking didn't hit till quite late in the day.  By this time, we were sitting pretty as we had done as promised before the open and that is, " we will be selling lots and lots of yesterdays buys before catching our breath and possibly repositioning".   The good thing about yesterday is the morning catch up lasted longer than anticipated and it gave ample time to sell and get a price.  The repositioning of the sells really didn't happen as the market slid too late in the day giving the impression a little more selling might continue into today.   So why reload at that stage, is our thinking.  Still, there were some stocks worthy of intraday plays and others worth holding to see what's further up possibly.  Also, instead of adding to stocks recently talked or alerted to the day before like the GS that went to a morning high of $207, EXM mid 48's, DRYS almost 76, BIDU almost 285, TNH to 123 which we sold in the morning...we went went after a MR late in the game because it was making another new charge to highs and because the Chinese stocks is one area that held up the best during the day.....

EJ, is one we keep on holding. Yesterday, we noted possible accumulation. This was even more evident as this one churned and rolled all day in even another tight range.  Either this a forward to ML's initiation or something else, or its just a fine piece of China making a dandy cup and handle.  This is not trading as before when volatility was huge, don't ever forget those days. A shakedown is always possible and don't all get shaky knees if it comes.   We've had a nice week and considering Chinese stocks are holding their own, like JRJC, MR its worth some more time.  As said before, we added back MR and as far as JRJC, we are only flipping it here and there.

LULU, MELI, and even WX, interestingly the recent IPO's had very nice days, actually some of the best out there and we have put these on our potential trading list.  MELI, is a new name here.  It got initiated yesterday and is of the foreign AMZN, EBAY biz nature.

GS, as a follow up to possibly hold a portion into earnings. We got a very nice price/ gain and after MS's report, we'd prefer to stay out and play it in the morning if they announce nicely.  For markets sake , we hope its great and so we can live with any points we might miss.

ICOC,  we'd just like to point out the concept here has always been playing the possibility of "IBD100 inclusion".  The main idea is finding and getting to them early and going big early into the $15 level late in the week.  Remember NGA, GTI, IDSA even SYX???.  If not go back to April, use search and see the prices we started and read up on the strategy.    So, if a stock is already at $15+ on a Wednesday, it really offers us little incentive at that price.   Also, do consider that a $15 stock with a beautiful run has been drummed around and pushed by either other stock forums, hedgies...or whatever and if they use the strategy as us in the NGA, GTI plays, guess what they might be doing here?.  Well, at least we would be dumping to newbies after getting 1-2-3-4-5 pts. We'll watch for now and if we get a nice dip we might add ..anyways, we'll see how it trades these last 2 days and deal with it hour by hour.

At this point, even if we didn't reload our sells late in the day, we'd look back to these names as soon as we see the buying of pullbacks starts in the market.  And it will as any dump will be seen as a buying opportunity for those who missed this move and think this market will be going higher in the days, weeks and months ahead.  Buying the dips in this market will again occur.