From Russia with Love...

We started the day with a very optimistic tone and we definitely finished it with the exact same tone.    So basically, the cautionary stance we took a couple of days ago is a little bit lessened.    However, just because the index is finishing solidly green, it doesn't mean that we are going back gun ho and buy back all of the DJIM stocks back off our watch list.      Still,  it's a game where you only get rewarded from the best action going forward, not from the past.    Momentum stocks provided us with some solid gains yesterday such as FMCN DIVX late day runs, today we had some other DJIM stocks such as ATNI IAAC SNCR MR EDU... providing sparks.    On top of everything,  every one of the Russia based telco stocks caught fire today, notably MBT GLDN VIP ROS.    These were the primary trading targets but if you were recycling DJIM names, you too had a good day!

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'[Demi]' posts » MBT, russian telecom out with excellent earnings, also possible overflow to others such as VIP-GLDN, which was raised to buy and a 50 tgt from 37 by an overseas bank yesterday.

To cap the day, we definitely had a couple of wild small caps and the one we chose to play is RNIN.   RNIN is getting some buzz b/c of its close similarity to FMCN and the fact it's an IPO, it gets played with some serious momentum.     It's not easy to keep the gains for a 5 buck stock, even though the float is small.   It definitely had its share of volatility today, but the end result is a close near the high of the day with volume surging toward the last half hour of the day.     While this normally signals another good day to come, it's never guaranteed that it can happen and this play is definitely on the more speculative side.    And last, oil service group had a very decent day.  Recent DJIM stocks such as ALY BTJ GDP PVA... all seem to have broken out.    We'd say choose your play wisely and pay very close attention to the overall sentiment in the group.    One little hiccup in the sector and we are simply outta there.     

That -54 Naz day is still lingering around our memory.   It can not be easily forgotten and the way we've been trading last couple of days fully reflect that.     We have been playing with smaller sizes and only playing with those we think that exhibit the best momentum, today it was the idea of a wild fire spreading from MBT earning. It was a hunch in DJIM Alerts premarket and paid off handsomely with NCH's big dig days from the Russian stocks.

cheers,   

A little bit of everything...

Of course, if you simply stare at the index and listen to CNBC today, you'd find it no more than a torturing experience.     The market seems to be stuck, as suggested by the index action and as well as the commentators would have you believe.    But if you look closely, especially the list off the DJIM stocks, you'd find plenty of action here and there.

The key here for us, is to play those that are attacking the new 52 week high off the DJIM watch list.    When a stock fails to advance or stalls at 52 week high, we reduce and lock in profit.    Having a list of strong stocks and constantly updating by adding new plays and deleting old ones ensure that you are always playing with the best stocks with potentially the best setup.     Here are some highlights..

Russian stocks,  GLDN and ROS continued their march upwards and left their stalled comrades MBT VIP behind.  Eventually these cracked the 9ema recently.  We are focusing more on the first two while keeping an eye on the rest.

Sugarcone, IPSU had a very nice follow through and in fact it was not late buying earlier today.

Surround sound,  Cramer surely discovered DLB at $30 and it's a definite bonus which is already 20% gainer for us.  Briefingcom has been all over it as well.

We also like the follow through on POWL and a nice setup on FTEK.    Two of DJIM's fav. oil co. BTJ/ALY have made new closing highs as well.     This market has become much more selective and it's understandable that many traders simply just want to take it easy for the rest of the year given the long stretch of rally we've had.    The best course of action for us is to let market show us what's working and we'll go from there.  

Short term bets into '07..

No M&A activity is going stop the distribution, profit taking we touched on last night on the NASD.  Add on head banging resistance and you get a 42 point swing from hi to lows of the day.  Some of this showed up in DJIM stocks and a lot of it didn't. You could say a few deserved some profit taking.  AXR and GROW shot to $137+ and almost $70 respectively, both about 5+% above Friday's already somewhat extended close.  You could throw JST into the mix.  Basically the 3 biggest runners exhausted themselves as the NASD turned late morning.   Excluding the oil related issues, AXR/JST sustained the most pain.  There was little pain elsewhere among DJIM names as most finished green..barely ...but green is green!.  The great thing about that is if you scare easily, today provided you with an opportunity to sell your stock near a top while the rest of the market struggled ..

ATNI ZOLL OPTM and almost all the NYSE stocks closely followed at DJIM...DLB MBT VIP closed green.

The best of the day were ABM, which kissed $24 and finished up 2.5% with a NCH.  The other is ROS which tacked on another $1+ and a new NCH. These two definitely have some new found interest out there, we're not the only ones liking how these are trading.

Todays action started with a decline in the small caps but eventually the large caps took over.  If this round of selling continues, never forget your stock could be next.  In small cap land,  they sometimes fall like dominos. The best performers take it hard and those are most likely here at DJIM.  Luckily, this market has had the dip buyers at every turn to support any tumble. It shouldn't be any different into the end of '06 if this was to occur.  We are just leaving it to short term bets now, not too many sleep overs for us.