ATNI-Atlantic Tele-Network

Okay.......simply we didn't like the way some recent DJ Journal stocks started to give up their early gains yesterday...AXR,ALB,IAAC..so we put on our bear costumes and hibernated by noon, but we really want to come out and look around for something new to chew on...here and there...  LMRA, affectionately known as the stinking LLAMA around here, just doesn't fill you up for more than a day or should it...we laughed the hype would come in premarket and did it ever.  This one belongs in and to the Deltas at Faber College, not Harvard.  

Well...this possible chew today is a quiet one, ATNI.  It was a favorite long ago, it has split and has appeared on the Nasdaq recently. It might be to our tastes after its Q report. Revenue 41.3 mln up 66%, net income 7.6 v 4.4m....53c vs. .36c(+47%).  ATNI (19.34 close) has been acquiring assets along the way but these numbers still beat all analysts expectations taking that into consideration. Same rules apply as always regarding going after things for breakfast, let the market show you if it likes it too.

DJIM hold/hit list #13

Back in October, we stated that November is seasonally a strong quarter for small caps.     Near the end of October, we stated that we just could not wait till the small cap earning season to start.    Well, we aren't disappointed, so far.       Maybe  it seems that all we had to do is to come back from a 8 month vacation and trade from November till February.    Now that would just be too easy plus we could have missed all the DJIM action from late August..just go to the Journal Archive.  The truth is, without the hard grind of the summer, without going through the emotional roller coaster with the market from the first trading day of the year, none of us would stay as focused, or sharp when the time mattered the most.     Well, here we are now.   We have had literally a stream of awesome small cap action last few days and we are trying our best to make the most out of it.    It means all out for us.    Folks, if you hadn't committed much time, energy, capital or effort into the market last few days, we'd say you are gonna be sorry a few months down the road.     Here are some plays we really like that showed up last little while...

ATNI, this is definitely not a flashy stock like some of the other heavy hitters.    It has very good earnings and it moves in stealth mode.   Before you know it, this thing can move 20% without making any kind of headline.    It broke out on Friday and we are keeping a close eye on this one. We added back. Friday looked like the day it would break all those candle wicks on the daily. http://djmarkets.squarespace.com/journal/2006/11/1/atni-atlantic-tele-network.html

GMKT, this stock had a very powerful move on its earning day and it smelled lots of institutions stepping in to bid it up.    A very sexy business and a dominant player in its area and with the holiday coming up, we think this one is gonna be in play for a while.

DLB, wow what a report this one had.   Ok, this isn't exactly a small cap but man you gotta give those guys a thumb up on their execution.   It took out multi year high, literally in one day of trading.    Now it may not give you another 33% gain day anymore but we bet it caught lots of people's attention on Friday.

Reports Q4 (Sep) earnings of $0.22 per share, $0.11 better than the Reuters Estimates consensus of $0.11; revenues rose 29.4% year/year to $102.1 mln vs the $83.8 mln consensus. Co issues upside guidance for FY07, sees EPS of $0.83-0.92 vs. $0.75 consensus; sees FY07 revs of $420-450 mln vs. $405.67 mln consensus.

MEK, it made it to IBD #5.   How will trade from now on?   We think it could trade with the group but with a better beta action.   Other plays we also consider in the same genre include BTJ ALY FTK. 

TRT, ah ha!    This one is not an unfamiliar name, far from it.     The latest quarter simply confirms the status of the stock, it's not going to be a micro cap anymore.   Bring it on Zeff boy!.  Nothing new to say, just scroll down our pages or go to the archives to get your TRT fill.

EDU, didn't we say this one could make some easy money?  Lol  Ok, nothing is easy in this business.   What this stock did the last few days, is simply giving back to all the believers and followers of DJIM site. Same as TRT, you can find your fill of EDU write ups as it seemingly has been with us since day one.....3 rides now!..Recycle, recycle we say. If EDU doesn't cut it one day....MR has picked up the slack and vice versa.  Late this week MR hit a new high 20.57. DJIM's Super Ninja's are sure to provide more excitement.

FSYS, this play is new and we think it can get some legs out of its report. We put an eye out on it early Friday morning in MC, its action perked up and we entered.Reported Q3 EPS of $0.22 vs -$0.63 in 3Q05; (est.$0.13c), revs rose 13% YoY to $55.4 mln vs.44.1 mln est. Co' raised 2006 rev guidance to at least $210 mln, up from previous guidance of $200 mln.  This alternate fuel segment needs some new trading blood, maybe Fuel Systems Solutions will be it.

AAON, we introduced this earning gem Wednesday morning. Not only did it take out the $25 we spoke of, it took on $26 Friday. Definitely, a A-Team member!

GLDN, we also introduced back some Russian blood with this Telecom/Internet provider. Volume has really picked over October and into early November with its earning release. 35% revenue growth, 40% net income YOY, 16% revenue, 7% net sequential growth.

RIMM, yep...we raised the RIMM flag as it became the 11th 25+% move in 12 weeks of DJIM. The action Thursday left it with a little toppy action. Every other day they seem to have a need to strike a blow into RIMM, Friday it was MOT's deal with Good Tech. This has been going on endlessly and RIMM just keeps making new highs. Nothing is wrong with RIMM for those wanting to play it out further, but we feel there are better chances of a finding another 25% move elsewhere...faster. We'll still keep a close eye on it as it's in the Constitution of Canada to do so;)

EFUT, is one we are trading as the Yahoo's are all over it. Definitely not for those that plan to have many bathroom breaks during the day.

It was just on Halloween that we took a cautious stance as many of the DJIM stocks felt toppy, by the close of Friday November 3rd we started to use up the cash with 6 or 7 buys. The names are changing, growing fast and furious during the past week. Buy the strength and don't sit on the UCTT's that are clearly lagging the uptrend.  Honestly, what are you waiting for?  You also have plenty of oil/energy names to rotate in and out of depending on the oil picture. If you have your DJIM list close by and have created a watchlist/buy list of these stocks, last week was a very fruitful one.  For more DJIM names read the commentary of the past week plus glance over the charts for ideas to trade.

Jon/ Demi

DJIM hold/ hit list #15

Despite a shortened trading week in which the indices basically consolidated on light volume, DJIM heavily followed stocks produced quite a week again. Add the early introduction of JCG, alert on CMT low $9's and there was more than enough to feast on this past holiday week.  With the mid week additions and the strength of DJIM stocks,  there is really nothing new to add going into the week. Again, as the gains marched on last week it is never a bad time to pocket some points.   In 3 days and 3.5 hours, JCG, MR, RVBD, GROW, CMT all posted gains of more than 10% on the week, throw in another 5-6% from the RIMM'r...DIVX, mentioned last week as the only other DJIM small cap tech worth a trade tacked on 6% the last 2 days.....even the crawler ATNI closed friday at $28 and another NCH.  Some like ZOLL, EXLS are slowly coming off, consolidating those huge DJIM opening day runs and might be ready to participate, especially if we get a good market.  The action in the DJIM stocks made it unnecessary to seek out new flyers for a quick holiday trade, we mentioned EFUT last DJIM #14 as a possibility for last weeks probable enthusiasm and it didn't disappoint with a two day run of 30% or so. We don't know the mood Wall Street will come back to their desks with...we really don't care and either should you.  If you are practising taking your points and profits like us the last few weeks, well actually the last 10 or more weeks...you are in a great position to end the year!. If so... now is maybe becoming the time to be more selective, which could be just reducing your positions or the lot sizes of your top performing DJIM stocks.  If we get a pullback before XMAS, you will be thankful as you sit in extra cash and shop for the familia,  while others may find there is nothing even for themselves in the Markets Store.  The Market is quite the resilient one, but you never know if and when a crack will appear at these levels.

Boring day...

It felt like a pretty boring day to us...a calm before a storm?   Major indices didn't do much of anything and most of our DJIM stocks pulled a sleepy one as well.    We can't put too much thought into today's action,  it isn't a bad thing to have everyone's enthusiasm curbed a little.     However, there are a couple of stocks worth noting and we'll just get right to it.

AXR/BIDU,  this pair is also getting some momentum carried over from yesterday.   Again, we liked the action today and added a little to our existing position.

GROW, one of the few games in town today.   Although we feel that the "easy" money has been made, it doesn't necessarily mean that "fast" money can't be made from this one.   This is, however, one of those stocks that only a full time trader with experienced trading background in this sort of play would attempt to play actively here in $50's-60's.

BTJ/ALY, this pair all closed near their day high and we are liking it for some further momentum.   The key, again, is to keep an eye on the overall oil services sector.

POWL, we are putting this one on our radar b/c we really like its earning reaction and it sort of reminded us of ATNI, in a way.   It's thin but it can be rewarding. A few small cap crawlers have given up their early gains following a earnings report rather quickly lately..EXLS, REXI.  We decided to let this one cool off and see how it performs day 2 and 3.  Btw..maybe not a bad time to start looking at ATNI again around the 9ema.

Many DJIM stocks have held up very well considering the choppiness of this market,  we are looking forward to tomorrow's action.

DJIM hold/ hit list #18

In last weeks #17, we said we're not finished yet with this market in 2006.  Last week showed our resolve to keep finding the 'trade' despite an already fulfilling year.  The market just keeps feeding us DJIM type trading opportunities and we don't want to stop feeding it.  The exodus of players beginning this week for the holidays favors our type of play going forward as the volume creeps lower. The next few weeks is 'easy money' time,  we are only looking to add to the gains of '06...not diminish them with unnecessary risk.  This is not the time to look for the 'hard money' play that could tick a few percentages off your return.  This is not the time to think...hmm..this one could be a winner down the road and take a stake in it,  this is the time to play the momentum when you see it.  What are we talking about?.  Well, we gave it out all week!.  If you look at Fridays action, if you look at the NASD chart you can see the divergence in the money flow..what you are seeing is profit taking year end.  Where do we not see this?.  Clearly by Fridays action, it was in DJIM stocks.  While the distribution goes on elsewhere, DJIM stocks are getting our cash and many other dollars that are giving these stocks momentum.. bringing in the herd.  This is what we will continue to seek out...the positive money flow and/or where it might go.  These types of plays include the possibility of runners like GROW, JST given Thursday afternoon and then the subsequent momo the next day. 

Although earnings season is practically over there are a few names coming out with EPS, maybe we will get a couple more sweet ones before the year is out.  Last week we alerted to two we liked, IPSU and ABM and with a little DJIM patience we gave a follow up alert on each minutes before the big moves. The other grand move had to be the word on POWL at $28 and then the run..okay walk to just under $34, not so bad was the pick up of OPTM at $23.   Besides JST, AXR also had a 20% week. This one was a recent alert at $98 and continues to thrill closing at 129.  Hopefully,  some finally see the promise in buying a stock at $99 and not only $9.90 after the RIMM ride from $99 to $140 and now AXR's 30% in 10 trading days. 

We will continue to be selective in our choices going forward and yes... if we get more quick 5-10%-20% at this point on individual plays, we will take the profits as so should you. For more current plays of interest ROS, ATNI etc.,  just scroll down the Journal.

Short term bets into '07..

No M&A activity is going stop the distribution, profit taking we touched on last night on the NASD.  Add on head banging resistance and you get a 42 point swing from hi to lows of the day.  Some of this showed up in DJIM stocks and a lot of it didn't. You could say a few deserved some profit taking.  AXR and GROW shot to $137+ and almost $70 respectively, both about 5+% above Friday's already somewhat extended close.  You could throw JST into the mix.  Basically the 3 biggest runners exhausted themselves as the NASD turned late morning.   Excluding the oil related issues, AXR/JST sustained the most pain.  There was little pain elsewhere among DJIM names as most finished green..barely ...but green is green!.  The great thing about that is if you scare easily, today provided you with an opportunity to sell your stock near a top while the rest of the market struggled ..

ATNI ZOLL OPTM and almost all the NYSE stocks closely followed at DJIM...DLB MBT VIP closed green.

The best of the day were ABM, which kissed $24 and finished up 2.5% with a NCH.  The other is ROS which tacked on another $1+ and a new NCH. These two definitely have some new found interest out there, we're not the only ones liking how these are trading.

Todays action started with a decline in the small caps but eventually the large caps took over.  If this round of selling continues, never forget your stock could be next.  In small cap land,  they sometimes fall like dominos. The best performers take it hard and those are most likely here at DJIM.  Luckily, this market has had the dip buyers at every turn to support any tumble. It shouldn't be any different into the end of '06 if this was to occur.  We are just leaving it to short term bets now, not too many sleep overs for us.