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DJIMSTOCKS- since 2006 - Toronto, Canada/London U.K

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Entries in RVBD (4)


Market Update

When technology IPOs like RVBD DIVX get bid up the way they have been last few days, we just knew that this market is in a very good mood.   whether this mkt is healthy or not is up for debate and fortunately for DJIM traders, it's the least concern for us.    What we are seeing is definitely more and more tradable small cap opportunities.   It does feel like this is one of those time of the year where all our time, capital, effort and focus need to be put where it matters.

TRT,  there's really no need to add to what we've already said.   This is in our opinion the best small cap stock we have seen in a while.

SYX, this one is a tough call.   We hope that those who bought it during the pullback have taken some off the table because there's always a possibility of repeat of last Friday's action.

IAAC, take two!

MR, we are keeping a close watch on this one as it's still currently working off the IPO inventory.   We like this story and think this is right up there in terms of sexiness.

EDU, check out BT's chart on possible course of action.  

DGIT, it just feels like it's just a matter of time before it moves, hopefully higher.


DJIM holds/ hit list week #9

As the NFL takes on week #6, DJIM is on #9 running nose to nose with Da' Bears on record and the PF/PA spread, we are about collecting points except we are da' Bulls....After 8 weeks of solid gains including catching 9 moves of 25% and up since late August, we are quietly sitting with skeleton shares or none at all with most on our list waiting for a new earnings play(s) to come forward... or a bust out move like we recently had in AZZ, DGIT even if it is short lived from the ones on our list. These include some long followed DJIM's...CPY since $ 43,CETV from $60, MR an IPO.  So far the big names earnings releases are outperforming the 1 Alcoa, so things ahead look promising but that could change with one report as previously discussed. In the meantime, we will try catch a move here and there like BVX last week. Nothing new is worth taking on this weekend with the expectation of giving us a move DJIM style.

ACOR as per Market chat comments is one we still look to trade once some PR flow kicks in again.

EDU which is on its second DJIM run from $22 has earnings this week. Again, we don't hold into earnings but we will jump again if it is to our liking.                                          

RIMM, CETV, CPY all 10%+ DJIM's are all near tops which we want broken to add. We hold skeleton shares of these between us and will add if the tops look to be taken out. Exits are pretty clear on the charts for most of the DJIM's.  EML might be starting its crawl.

TRT has provided plenty of opportunity for those following since DJIM alert at $8+, we'll wait out the games and look for confirmation to go back hard. A start would be a close above the 9ema.

In between we look for DIVX, RVBD and now APKT to provide almost daily opportunities in the tech IPO fever. Some other names previously on the DJ Journal ANST,SIM,CSH, NEU also had a good week. Hopefully, after 8 weeks these names have made it to your lists. The point of our lists from week to week is so you may assemble a list of your own to concentrate on from what we trade and follow..... saving you lots of grunt work but still doing your own DD on the listed before making a trading decision.

Charts updated at BT charts....ACOR, AZZ, BVX, DGIT, EDU, EML, RIMM, TRT and the NDX


DJIM hold/ hit list wk #12.....incl. BRLC PVA SINA TWLL RVBD

Market is still going through a consolidation phase, and it still means that the priority for us is the capital preservation.    However, it doesn't mean that we'll be shying away from good trading opportunities, and it'd be irresponsible if we don't trade them.      What we at DJIM here stress is that in a time like this, we'd only trade what we think are the best of the best setups and leave the iffy ones alone.    We also do keep our trading time frame per play to a conservative level where we'd take profit on small increments, a $1/point here and there and not get carried away with big positions on any one stock.   We can't wait for 25%+ DJIM benchmark these days, so taking 5 -10% quickly is fine with us.  This style is definitely more difficult to trade compared to riding a few big winners that can offset any small losses from other trades.   We are literally trying to basically do with only the most probable plays, with the least risk.   This comes in the form of stocks with a earnings base for DJIM.  We've heard that many traders around various chat room, blogs surprisingly under performed in October.  We're not sure the path they have taken but we've taken/followed the uptrend path here at DJIM.   Well, unfortunately this game isn't an easy business so only time can tell whether one is cut out to do this for a living, or not.    Here are some recent plays...

The week provided some nice intraday trades off our extended trading thread...CASM, LMRA back to back days in Market Chat.  The first 3 below were mentioned in pre market yesterday. The market survived the eco numbers and some of these provided nice entries off earnings.

TWLL....     This one gave us a little surprise late afternoon as it came on with strong volume and then some follow through, finishing with a NCH.   The earning action definitely looks very strong and we think it may catch some attention around the trading circle.  See more below on TWLL.

BRLC..surprisingly this one traded down to $7.01 after multiple upgrades, a healthy price target of $14 by BMurray after beating estimates handily....7c vs.1 c estimate, revenues climbed 3x.      How this one is going to trade is still remaining to be seen.    Usually when it gaps up like that with that kind of volume, you'd see some more upside down the road.


SINA beat by .5, upped revenue G, multiple price upgrades in the morning and then closes gap to Thursdays close before EPS. That was a Friday morning gift to have a stock with so many positives only trade 1% higher in the morning.  If stocks that beat by .5, raise guidance and only move 1% up, we'd be out of the trading business real fast.!.  We'd be happy with a test of $30 here. The first two might have the better upside in the near term as far as collecting points, profits.

MR, stock had another nch(new closing high) on Friday and we are very encouraged by its action.   This stock is due to release its earning on Nov. 16th and we think there's going to be a pre-earning run-up play.     In last week's DJIM #11, we discussed the further play we were looking for after selling. Monday was a further drop and soon we were sitting on the 9ema ready for another move up.

PVA ..a  O&G/coal.....started to watch closely Thursday off earnings ($1.21 v 1.06). More below on Penn Virginia Cp.

BTJ, it seems a lot of the oil service stocks are perking up lately, there is always something to fuel it..yesterday was one of those days.  This one also made it to IBD100 as #19.   See last weeks DJIM wk #11 for our buy in below $16 , the play we were looking for and got Friday.   We are keeping an eye on ALY as well.

EDU, Chinese stocks immune to the pullback?  Perhaps!   We are certainly seeing strength in many of the Chinese stocks on our trading list.

RVBD, this is one of the techs that broke out on Friday, one of the few techs that are standing out in our opinion. We still can't decide between the APKT, RVBD, DIVX...IPO's.... all we know is they provide plenty of trading opp's at this time, figuring out which will be the champ longer term is anyone's guess. Right now..there is a new champ every week in this IPO tech game.

Speaking of champs, we threw out ATNI at the open mid week ...she was a champ going from $21 area to $24 for many DJIM readers in a few days. We took a lot off near $24 as it seemed a bit tired late in the week. The numbers look great and we look for more out of ATNI. This is a relatively unknown stock, we hope and by the early volume off earnings we think this may be on a few trading lists soon.

RIMM,APH,UCTT round out our lists.  As per BT's charts, ACOR proved it couldn't handle its weight. Looks like many were expecting something out of the CC to fuel it. It didn't happen and many sold off. Still we'll keep this one around DJIM and hope for a news spark.

SYNL, EML are two DJIM profiled quality EPS crawlers..these are for the ones that like their sleep.

So, it seems that we have quite a few new plays on our hand after cleaning house late October. We are basically trying to play the best setups and again keeping our time frame short.   Until the market mood improves or we get a great earnings winner, this is the way we are going to be trading.


....Crazy Genes...

..We didn't ask for much this week...or did we?.....We just wanted to keep our 2006 gains in check and give us and you a XMAS bonus without risking much at all.....1000 shares of ESCL yesterday at say $7 & and change on the break of alert, fetched you maybe 8k, 9k, 10k,11k,12..maybe 13K back in less than a day of trading.  You know we are not of the speculative lot here at DJIM,  we don't throw spec stocks out randomly or give a stock a headline like last night for no reason.   It's not our game to risk our money or get you to risk yours... Going into this week, we said what we were looking for as DJIM stocks came off their highs ...we weren't about to start buying the dips and instead wanted to concentrate on some holiday shopping with a good return policy.   We would've been happy with $10..11 as we were happy with some $9 the day before on ESCL,  but the difference is we didn't calculate its holiday trading week (even if that was the premise heading into the week) and ESCL could even do more than last time!.   Most the day was occupied with this baby...momentum is momentum...slice it any which way...volume, exuberance equals momentum and this one definitely had the crazy genes in it to replicate its May run.   Turned out not to matter if you bought yesterday at  $7's..8's or if you had started to play it today...either should be ho' ho..tonight.   Traders can decipher momentum easily, starters can just as's all about volume!.  If you're a rookie, you're not at such a disadvantage...volume is volume...all can read that!.  If you want a short term trade, 20-40k ain't going to cut it like in EVST.

The bias has been SHORT TERM trading this week. If a FFHL goes from $10 to $12 after alert in 1hr of regular trading,  we are happy for those that closed 20%+, but we are not so happy to hear one DJIM reader closed on another.. but that's the game of trading, folks.   If you believe enough to buy a stock at $12 from a IPO price of $8 ready to suck it up if it turns against you for a bit.  You're playing the game, so be prepared.  Still a day doesn't make a stock, up or down the day after the IPO.

Kinda happy for all those that have held onto FSYS, a good stock that just isn't discovered. Today was a little redemption...

RVBD fought back because of TW comments premarket, still the NASDAQ needs to WAKE UP before we get excited about DJIM techs again.   Hey Cramer only brought GMKT a little further than we biggie, we were there first.....POWL has kissed $33+ from our 28,  OPTM hanging in with a mildl NCH as well.

Still beyond the plays and the playas'...OEH was a nice pick up this morning for DJIM.  We've been watching for a few days and bought early today off yesterdays NCH.  If we didn't think there was more potential at $45.50's, we wouldn't have mentioned it...make a long story short...1.2mln after 60k volume alert and a high of 47.82 on the day.  First million plus volume day probably in a year for OEH (200k yesterday),  not the first record volume day for a stock after a DJIM mention without news.

Charts updated include: FSYS OEH OPTM POWL REXI and ESLC for the remaining nutbars left in it;)