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DJIMSTOCKS- since 2006 - Toronto, Canada/ London UK

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Entries in JRCC (3)

Tuesday
Apr222008

...jus' like summer

Mondays trade resembled a summer's trading day.     Not only was the weather too hot where we are, but the volume on the indices was full of nothing but smog.    It was low and it might've taken a little effort for many to see through it and get a read.    After last week big gains, we were looking for some profit taking and corrective action to come in Monday, we'd have no problem with that!.   Instead what we got early was a nice report from ACI to help push all the other coals we've been covering here, most to NCH's( new closing highs)..JRCC, FDG, PCX, MEE, AKS, WLT.    In our view, this coal action was just a bonus following Fridays and an excuse to take some profits.    It's not a surprise to see great reports from this sec' this Q.    We've been buying this sectors stocks a lot on dips the past Q as they seem to provide some of the best around before making a nice recovery.     At this point with many reporting earnings, we were thinking we'd be getting this opportunity as they sell off on the news.     Unfortunately...the way they traded into the afternoon we were starting to think we'd sold too early this time around.     Considering, we began covering this sector when JRCC was in her low teens and yesterday hit high $25's, it is never a bad idea to sell a group and regroup.    The action in coals was in other commodity stocks as they all benefited from higher crude and metal prices, which offset the impact of weak financial stocks.     We did see pretty good action in the big 3, we trade here from the tech/internet sector, RIMM, AAPL,BIDU.     All in all, what seemed like lacklustre day too many a trader was nothing but as we all can see yesterday by the DJIM watchlist, shadowlist.   Those visiting DJIM can find the list on the next few pages of the Journal or a smaller favorites list just by looking at the Charts section where you find a few other stellars making NCH's,   CMP and V

Oh yeah let's not forget on of our most recent plays, SOL which had a great open climbing to almost $19 bucks.  Not bad for 5 days work from $14.   Again, keep looking to add and/or buy-back on dips as has been the strat.   As long as oil is roaring mad, solars should play along.

Some may have been upset we didn't get follow through gains after Friday, some on the other hand may have upset we didn't get a pullback. Even though we are expecting some sideways to consolidate the recent gains, a pullback would be welcomed here so we may pick up back some of our beloved.   But, by the looks of things a pullback is not going to include our niche of stocks anytime soon and so we maybe S.O.L!..lol.   In other words, in conclusion, we are pretty light as far as positions are concerned now,  but are itchy to start buying this market up once again!.

 

Friday
Jun202008

..dirty 4 letter word..

You gotta like it when CNBC is highlighting DJIM stuff months later as "coal is cool" this morning.   As for yesterday's action, it was really no surprise that coal had a pullback.   It was inevitable after this recent kick up.   The dirty 4 letter word CNBC is using this morning is coal and it ain't going away as long as crude is on the mind this year.    Didn't we just say if you really want to get down and dirty have some coal?.   Actually, it was around these parts months earlier as you know.   Considering, we profiled coal as possibly the next big trading thing in early February, we welcome any pullback after seeing many introduced here double and triple since.   We've been selective in choosing a few, JRCC has gone from $14 to 50's, FDG, MEE have run nicely and we discovered PCX and ANR in the $50's.    Again, don't fret the action Thursday, just get ready to saddle back up one day soon, but don't do it guessing a bottom unless you are a full-time trader and can move around intraday.   We noted yesterday at 10am with $CRX at 976 a stall may occur for profit taking.   Well, it did as the $CRX fell to 961 by close.   Watch 955 as an level of interest noted yesterday to either bounce or exit.   Remember, we can't say sell or buy for that matter for obvious reasons..we can only lead and say what is on mind.    If you're trading these day by day, you may have used the alert to exit a few names in the commodity area and go clean into the weekend.   But,  if you've been holding a few for weeks it's no really big deal as you've generated nice gains.  

Anyways, a lot of noise this morning in the markets and it's time to start the weekend.   We noted a few stocks we're in yesterday. ENER and SCHN because steels held ground yesterday

We will do an in depth write up on the Haynesville Shale play we introduced recently this weekend.   There are more than a few plays and you'll have to decipher which fills your needs best as there ones to trade and some you may want to just tuck under your pillow.   As with coal this play ain't going away and in months they'll be saying Shale is dirty 5 letter word.    

Have a good weekend.... Anybody watching and enjoying Euro Cup soccer?....it's so much better than watching the market take its kicks!

Tuesday
Jul012008

holiday spirit

Walking around town in this fine city of Toronto this week, there's no hint of a slowed economy.   Of course, we are talking about a big holiday week here where most people try to enjoy themselves.      When we walk away from our trading screen, and out on the street, we really don't feel the kind of gloom and doom this market fears.  Maybe that's because the major Canadian exchange (TSX) has been up around 20% in 2008, one of the world's best performers.  Why?.  Well, that's because the index is about 50% resource plays!.  So, Happy Canada Day, today.  Hopefully, our resource plays can survive today with the TSX closed today.;).   There's no hint of inflation, no stress and everyone just goes about his/her business it seems.    This is definitely a strange feeling, for us traders who witness all the daily doom and gloom reporting !    When we get back to work and look at the quotes of many companies that supposedly represent the pillars of the economy across the border, things can be so far from the truth.    Companies that are perceived as "American Icons", such as GE, GM, Citi..., their stocks are hitting new low on a "daily" basis!    On the other hand, there are those companies that do nothing but dig stuff out of the ground, are hitting new high on a daily basis.   Even US coal companies are popping IPO's onto the TSX here, one PHC, Phoenix coal just had a 18% pop going from 1.76 to over $2 yesterday.   Ok, the comparison ends here and no more philosophical discussion on how and why or if...

What we want to know, as traders, are questions of when is the overall market going to rebound and when is the madness of the commodity plays going to end?    Either question, if you attempt to answer this in some sort of logical way during the last couple of months, you'd have simply driven yourself insane by now.    We feel the questions are best answered by the market itself, whenever they happen! 

In the mean time, today's strength from DJIM shadowlist came from HK's rosy drill report.  We've highlighted these intertwined HSP plays, GDP, CRK, PVA, XCO will live off 'catalysts' such as results, acreage acquisition etc.   This could not have been more true than yesterday as these plays exploded.    HK provided very strong results, the initial rate is the highest rate so far of 16.8 mmcfpd.   It is twice the rate of those recently announced by ECA, PVA and an average of 5 Bcf per well can easily be assumed based on this.   They also announced acreage increased 83% from 150 to 275K net acres.

We noted before the open of possible catalysts for our resource plays.  We had a timely upgrade of CLF, and continued follow through action from coal plays including JRCC, also highlighted.    In essence, resource plays have covered about 90% of our most recent favourite trades.    Yes,  it'd be hard not to have a great day, even 20 minutes into the open.    Excitement aside, we still have to do enough profit taking to ensure that our hard work get recognized.    Also, we wouldn't want to call today's action a gift either because we'd been riding this for quite sometimes now.    The probability of an upgrade in the steel sector to estimates and stocks themselves, a turn in coal sector and positive catalysts from shale plays have all been discussed extensively in the Journals.  Don't shoot the messengers,  if sooner than later these pause, money should have been made already.  To start, it will be interesting to see the reaction to SCHN's eps today in the entire steel sector.  Will the probably great numbers be cooked in or not, that is the question!!.  Wait and see, here this morning.