..what a helicopter drop!

What can you say?....A Helicopter Ben surprise with an aggressive helicopter drop down every chimney!.   Yes...kids there will be a Christmas this year, thanks to Santa Ben.   We can also get a bigger tree on credit!.    Most importantly..your parents will have something to trade into what is the usually the best trading season and so you might get presents under the tree as well!...   To us this is what mattered most, the ability to have a tradable winter!.   It is almost irrelevant if you missed one of the biggest Wall street day's in years.   You only need to look forward and the opportunities this will most likely give all of us.   This was so well orchestrated, the PPI #'s in the morning, the LEH report and then what they are calling now the 'shock and awe'.  But, was it really if you look at all the pieces and how they were lining up during the day.    Well, at least that's the way we were thinking as the day progressed.   Considering our stance heading into this was one of being thinly positioned, mostly because we'd seen nothing worthwhile to trade off the past 5 trading,  it might have come as a surprise why we alerting a buy into GS in the morning.  Not only is it a large cap, but it is a bank(s) that never floats DJIM's boat.   As we say often here, we trade with our heads, but the gut plays a role with the head making the last decision.  Guess we went out on the limb with GS, who we saw as potentially the biggest beneficiary of what we got. Also knowing the incredible up and down volatility that always immediately follows the FOMC minutes, we still alerted an invitation to an upcoming party for the market in whole. We never got the volatility, it was straight up to close at highs of day.  We had the inkling of one coming as the day wore on and us soon as we saw a 50bps -50 discount and a do as 'needed' statement, there was nothing left to do but press the send button at 2:15.   Still...like we said,  it's irrelevant if you missed the whole day or our party invitation.   It is the rosy forward trading picture that matters.   Still, we all knew this was shaping up as a historic day for weeks and it should have had you at the trading platform to be actionable just in case.    So, if 50% were correct on the 50bps, a much lesser % of the .50bps camp dreamed of the other .50 and accompanying statement and so what you got was all camps chasing, covering.....making a record day.   The biggest winners of course were the ones heavily positioned.   That's great, but to us the risk was not worth heading into Tuesday.. Instead, we simply reacted to the days flow and still had a nice day.  Reason being if you are mostly in cash heading into this surprise, you can allot the cash to the right sector, the right plays when given the green light.   You have money to burn!.     If you were invested too much, especially in sectors not benefiting, you might have been stuck in plays lagging with no extra cash to benefit.    Human nature is to wait and not believe your stock is not participating.   Remember, not all get invited to the party, we've been through this before recently with VMW,WX not playing along on nice days.   Today, we if get a nice follow through early...we will be selling lots and lots of yesterdays buys before catching our breath and possibly repositioning.    We've talked about this methodology here many times before and most recently put it to work last Tuesday morning to cash in.

GS, of course you could have played anything after the cut in this sector, but as far as we are concerned it was best to keep adding to the morning buys as GS is best of breed to us.  LEH did a lot to make you want to hold GS into earnings, we will be hard pressed not to hold some even if it goes against our DJIM methodology of not holding into earnings.  This is different considering the turn of events, including the LEH report. We still will take a handsome portion of the profits off and keep some into the report on Thursday.  This surely will present some quick in and out opportunities into the close today as speculating will come in.

EXM, DRYS, FREE when a sector shows strength before a FOMC even if it falters just before, it still should be on your radar as the first possibility to trade into following what was a surprise.    If it tries once, it should try again if the news is good.  As far as FREE is concerned, the market participants just haven't had reason to get on the small float, EPS bandwagon this Q.   It's as if the herd has left the building.  We saw that apprehension early in this stock, you can't really blame the herd as it was on the day of the FOMC.   Maybe, the mentality will change and the herd will remember the possibilities in these types of stock we all enjoy here when it's been fashionable.  There is also a seller that was creating a wall, if you have level 2 you will see him as ARCA and they are not showing how much they have.    Once this is/if removed this might move.  Of course, the sector motion will play a role here.  Many stocks take time to be discovered, especially if the time is not one where traders are scrambling to trade as we've seen lately.    We hope this action yesterday by the FED changes that for the sake of small float, EPS stocks as we head into earnings season, our bread and butter.

BIDU, EJ, ROS these stocks highlighted in previous days Journal all performed well leading into the afternoon. You don't need to chase stocks off alerts here, you have plenty of opportunities to get in stocks after the morning Journals and profit.  Every stock is different, some need to be chased, most don't.    There is something for every type of trader, investor here.   Each one of these stocks is different in its volatility and therefore suitability.    We just happen to like to trade all the colors.  EJ, had a tight .15 cent range, which might signal more accumulation after the heavy activity at $20.00 the day before. Where is Merril with a initiation?. This action we've seen the last 2 days might be the forward to it. ROS, russian telcos keep on acting well, even before the FED note.  BIDU, you probably have taken most off the table. It would be the smart thing to do after the last 2 days.

Best to look over the charts printed here for possibilities this morning.  Be careful and don't be trying to play catch up this morning if you missed some entries late yesterday.  We'd hate to be selling some of them to you.  Santa Ben has given us more time than we could have envisioned to make $....you won't be left behind.

.6 .6 .6%

Guess we should take those % gains from the DJIA/SPX/NASD yesterday as a sign from the devil that we are going to have a down day to follow.  It wouldn't be a surprise, but on the other hand that is what most expected yesterday and we just didn't get it.   The herd was playing catch up and the profit taking didn't hit till quite late in the day.  By this time, we were sitting pretty as we had done as promised before the open and that is, " we will be selling lots and lots of yesterdays buys before catching our breath and possibly repositioning".   The good thing about yesterday is the morning catch up lasted longer than anticipated and it gave ample time to sell and get a price.  The repositioning of the sells really didn't happen as the market slid too late in the day giving the impression a little more selling might continue into today.   So why reload at that stage, is our thinking.  Still, there were some stocks worthy of intraday plays and others worth holding to see what's further up possibly.  Also, instead of adding to stocks recently talked or alerted to the day before like the GS that went to a morning high of $207, EXM mid 48's, DRYS almost 76, BIDU almost 285, TNH to 123 which we sold in the morning...we went went after a MR late in the game because it was making another new charge to highs and because the Chinese stocks is one area that held up the best during the day.....

EJ, is one we keep on holding. Yesterday, we noted possible accumulation. This was even more evident as this one churned and rolled all day in even another tight range.  Either this a forward to ML's initiation or something else, or its just a fine piece of China making a dandy cup and handle.  This is not trading as before when volatility was huge, don't ever forget those days. A shakedown is always possible and don't all get shaky knees if it comes.   We've had a nice week and considering Chinese stocks are holding their own, like JRJC, MR its worth some more time.  As said before, we added back MR and as far as JRJC, we are only flipping it here and there.

LULU, MELI, and even WX, interestingly the recent IPO's had very nice days, actually some of the best out there and we have put these on our potential trading list.  MELI, is a new name here.  It got initiated yesterday and is of the foreign AMZN, EBAY biz nature.

GS, as a follow up to possibly hold a portion into earnings. We got a very nice price/ gain and after MS's report, we'd prefer to stay out and play it in the morning if they announce nicely.  For markets sake , we hope its great and so we can live with any points we might miss.

ICOC,  we'd just like to point out the concept here has always been playing the possibility of "IBD100 inclusion".  The main idea is finding and getting to them early and going big early into the $15 level late in the week.  Remember NGA, GTI, IDSA even SYX???.  If not go back to April, use search and see the prices we started and read up on the strategy.    So, if a stock is already at $15+ on a Wednesday, it really offers us little incentive at that price.   Also, do consider that a $15 stock with a beautiful run has been drummed around and pushed by either other stock forums, hedgies...or whatever and if they use the strategy as us in the NGA, GTI plays, guess what they might be doing here?.  Well, at least we would be dumping to newbies after getting 1-2-3-4-5 pts. We'll watch for now and if we get a nice dip we might add ..anyways, we'll see how it trades these last 2 days and deal with it hour by hour.

At this point, even if we didn't reload our sells late in the day, we'd look back to these names as soon as we see the buying of pullbacks starts in the market.  And it will as any dump will be seen as a buying opportunity for those who missed this move and think this market will be going higher in the days, weeks and months ahead.  Buying the dips in this market will again occur.

DJIM #39 2007

Last week was payday(s),  sitting on quite a bit of cash into Tuesday's helicopter drop was painstaking but very fruitful as it turned out..."only thing we are doing is being patient and not trading for the sake of trading".    This was the mentality for the prior 5-6 trading days heading into the FOMC due to what we saw as a lack of any meaningful set ups.   The FOMC provided a black hole for all of us to be sucked in and put that sidelined money to work!!.     Simply, the subdued action heading into the meeting turned into a wild and crazy trading week.. Even though the market pretty well consolidated for the next few days after the record day...,eg.. the Friday open gap led to the Nasdaq trading within a 10pt range, this did not stop the DJIM stock universe from having a great day on Friday.   Our DJIM index, if we may call it that of our closely followed/traded stocks outperformed everything in sight on Friday.  Take the stocks from the previous weekends chart section that we have you following and add a MELI or two late in the week and you can see the results if you stick to trading our book of stocks.  The 1 day returns are only surpassed by the 1 week return on this group of stocks.

The strategy continues...stick with winners and ones making strong breakouts and hitting new 52 week highs/new closing highs.  We won't be listing them, you know them, it is visible by a look of the charts up this weekend.   The Shippers, the Solars.. these two sec's are leading the way, but let's not forget the other flavors we beat on and that is the Chinese stocks and IPO's of choice. ..As we have been saying for days and weeks, months...'you can't ignore a strong sector'.   Still....never forget to take profits home with you, you can always reload and recycle these DJIM plays.    We've been doing it for months.   EJ, as an example was a 2nd time around in a month and it played out just like we wanted with the recent action a forward to the MLynch initiation.  No matter what it does now,  Friday move to almost $23 was as good as any reason to sell.    Just like a pre-earnings run, we had a pre-coverage one that we thought was worth trying.    By Fridays close, the list of these stocks at highs grew with a few DJIM names coming back back onto our closely followed trading mix...LXU, GTLS, VMW (coverage by book runners initiated today, should be quiet volatile).  We'd also include ANW ,a Barrons note this weekend and ATHN an IPO, on your potential trade list for Monday.   Btw.WBD initiation friday includes a $136 tgt. 

A seemingly perfect storm is brewing in late September and it's not a tropical one.  It is the trading vibe created, it is the end of Quarter that should bring in the buying from institutions to fudge their Q books and it is the 14000 chit chat.

..out of breath?

Early on yesterday it seemed like many DJIM plays just carried on Friday's action as if the weekend never came.  We saw action continue in the Shippers..DRYS, EXM...Solars..LDK JASO..Chinese..JRJC,BIDU stocks rolled, Russian stocks...GLDN, ROS had good days and a few like GRMN, and even CROX finally broke to the upside after a long period of consolidation.  Some lasted, some didn't and faltered as if out of breath.  Some definitely felt extended and if anything switching into names just breaking out might be a way to go now.   Basically a switch of asset classes you might say.   On Sept 13, we said a trend might emerge..."A possible theme emerging in our bored minds, even if it this play really never left  is the potential for DJIM foreign stocks.   Primarily, the Chinese and Russian telcos because some might be seeing the US' slowing economy and a faster global economy as a reason to get into foreign stocks.  This fact is just clearer now after Fridays employment figs and some might see it as a way out...".   Have you seem the dramatic recovery of the emerging markets since the low's hit on Aug 13th.  This is mostly driven by the BRIC economies..Brazil, Russia, India, China.  This BRIC index already was up 29% last friday, outperforming the emerging markets as a whole which was up just under 10%.  We definitely can't do all the letters of the BRIC, but trading the Russian and China has been a way to go.  A look at MCSI index will show this bubble like action.  This might be a bubble forming, but the underlying economic and earnings growth is there to support it for the time being and trading the China, Russian plays might be the safer bet right now than the high flying shippers, solars.......

DRYS, EXM..lets' be realistic. The last few days is money just waiting to be taken off the table. Don't forget the volatility swings both ways and when these rest..they really rest.

LDK, JASO, and the solars. We are actually surprised  by the strength exhibited by LDK early on.  Reason being a downgrade came in the morning, but it did come with some good news.  Eventually, the downgrade and the recent action took its toll and it succumbed to profit taking in a big way..as did JASO's run.   Let this action serve as a reminder of what we face trading these high flying shippers...solars.

IRBT, was a open speculative buy alert that ended on a good note. There is a possibility IRBT might be given a 2nd chance for the contract given to another company that sank this stock recently. We'll see as news is impending and that gap looks juicy on good news,  if it gets to that level starting over $19.

With the stocks talked above that show or showed signs of being extended, we'd turn to closely watch the potential in some names that came back up on radar yesterday..GRMN CROX APOG VMW  GTLS  ANW (new..but if shippers falter, this may too), for more trading possibilities in the right trading environment.

a bunch of Yo- Yo's

Before yesterday's trading day,  we noted we'd be trading hour by hour, not a bad idea it seems as what we have is a bunch of yo-yo's day to day..hour to hour.  You almost have to make a choice of whether to hold these through the slips or just daytrade the heck out of them.  Unfortunately the 5-10% down days make it hard to hold till the next day and the daytrading mode might not be for you to capitalize when they pop in the other direction.  We've never been ones to daytrade these stocks, getting in and out of them on a daily basis was not the way we played them to these lofty perches they are sitting on.    Simply at this time, this is seemingly what you have to do with the DRYS EXM LDK GRMN FSLR JASO stocks or just hold through the volatile action and take some lumps on off days.   On any given day you are getting 5,6,7, 8 pt intraday trading range, with the close either at the low's or highs of that day in most instances.  One day they are tepid and lagging the overall mkt and/or red, the next day, they are flying.   Also, it is not so easy to say a stock making a NCH will continue on forward the next day.   Now, you simply don't know what the stocks we've covered this Q will do the next day.   There is only one way to explain the action and that is to understand it as a Q end phenomenon with a lot of hedgies flying in and out of these big winners of the past Q and creating this volatility.  Performance anxiety after a horrible July and August for too many of them.  Probably started padding the books with this China spec stuff and got the wildfire started.   We doubt the timing is a coincidence.   So...you have 3 choices really, one is take the lumps the bad days or even intraday moves can throw you...two...is buy and sell the same day ...or three...which is stay out completely to avoid the stresses of it all and await a calmer trading environment.   There is no reason to point out plays reaching NCH's Thursday,  you're most likely rolling the dice with most DJIM plays into the last trading day of the Q, even with less volatile issues like MR EJ.

Anyways..be careful today as the funky stuff will likely continue...either try get jiggy wit it on an uptrend or just stay out...

AZZ, an original DJIM play is one to possibly trade off today following earnings. $36 premkt.

..fence sitters?

Despite all the hoopla since the premarket note on non-farm last week, we haven't seen the volume we would like including on Friday.  Some did, we did not.   We figured there were a lot fence sitters waiting to jump off and into this market long. Unfortunately, we have not seen the conviction in buying.    This market might be a little exhausted after all the subprime events over the summer and now needs a push.   Earnings could provide this kick in the butt, but this could be a little ways away.     In the meantime, we deal with a possible lull or pullback in the short term.    Yes, you can blame the volume on Columbus yesterday for the lack of activity, but unless the FED minutes provide a surprise stimuli, we might be in for more mixed trading until we get the significant names reporting.   What matters this earning season is the guidance for the 4th Q.  A stock might be beat handily, but if the guidance is average the stock may still fall.   Be careful chasing the headline number and wait to see the guidance before jumping in.    So..while we might be taking a breather in the US indices, the Asian markets new highs spillover and we continue to find possibilities in the stocks listed US side....They have no fences left over there it seems!..lol....If we could highlight one stock every day before morning, like STV yesterday...wouldn't it be just swell!

STV,  definitely the attention grabber yesterday as seemingly a few dollars were made available over the weekend to chase this puppy. The reason for the action is just as expected.    A mix of China and tech with quality earnings is a fine blend to drink.   We have thirsty traders, they can't get enough of this China bubble tea stuff.  You already can see what happens and might happen day to day when this gets intraday toppy. The stock fell over 4pts in minutes to its breakout afternoon point where it gained steam upwards again.   It was fueled with a little print pumping by Briefingcom..well, what else can you call a posting profile 10 minutes before the close and some Cramer doing and this stock continued on AH and then today's premkt.  This is not a stock without fundamentals behind it.  Also as we said yesterday it trades on the NYSE, supported by Tier 1 firms which makes it different than the recent Amex high flyers.   This doesn't mean the action won't get volatile, it just means you may be able to put a few shares away for a rainy day and swing the rest day to day.  Will the action around $50 levels provide a psych wall in the very short term?.   It should and sometimes these plays high out premarket following a huge day, but after playing yesterdays action you know there are plenty of traders knowing and wanting to drive it down the fairway 400 yards soon!.  Have fun!.   Just remember to hit the deck when you hear 'FORE" at a toppy juncture!.  Don't ever feel left out and start chasing blindly.   This is not a Baskin Robbins flavor of the day or week stock, it will be here for a while.  It beats any XFML pump and dump on a Monday morning;)

DRYS EXM TBSI..oh, stop it, please...no wait don't!.  These guys keep on marching forward and while the solars (not FSLR state side) go through their internal problems, this niche is providing tradable days over and over again as they continue to make new highs.  PRGN, ESEA had nice days as well and might provide a continued secondary play.  For us, it's simply sticking with the 3 big boys we have followed for ages now.  It is easier to trade the ones you know then going off and participating in something you are not so familiar with.  Call this your little black stock book rule!.   This am, KKR bought up a Turkish shipper in a deal worth something like 900mln euros. We've said this last month as we alerted the shiipers as a whole, we expect consolidation in this sector to come and you have to thing one of the 3 boys will be swallowed up sooner than later. This gives the sec a little more juice.

VMW, this one has been cornered here again recently with the prospect of 90+ dollar days ahead. We are there now at $95 and might have to start looking soon at $100 prospects if the tech keep providing the lift it needs to go higher.

MHJ,  as we said we think this China has the fundamentals to go higher in the Q's to come.   We don't want it to be mixed in with the spec stuff and prefer to see it walked up.  This doesn't mean we won't take a bubble day or two, but it will mean we will take the profits it generated.  It's acting well.

..Boy Scouts

We welcomed a surprise Fed minutes stimuli in yesterdays Journal to get us out of a meandering market place and we got it good!.  Well..pretty good as the volume still sucks out there.    The policymakers acted like boys scouts in their last open committee meeting as all agreed.   A united group they stand.    As much as anything this shared analysis, therefore a determined effort by all on the correct response provided the kick we needed, included in this was Poole's comments that for once didn't rattle the markets.    There were no differences as earlier and this was probably the most important factor seen by the big players.   Equities simply rallied as the FED did not see broad based weakness in the economy and the market said let's get on with it and put the credit squeeze behind us.     A few M & A deals were overshadowed, but this was also a good sign.   Again, as discussed in the weekend edition of DJIM# 41, good trading is a case of being in the right stocks that would potentially move the best when the market gets a lift and therefore gives a lift to your stocks on the good news. ..."....Simply,  if you had the right stocks the probability was they would be the ones that would give the strongest day.   You have to feed off good news and use the lift provided by news to lift your stocks.   What stocks will be the beneficiary, which have the best chance of catching volume???.  Always ask yourself.   We should all know from the group of stocks we cover".        If you have your hand in these closely monitored stocks you'll know what we mean...starting with...

DRYS TBSI  EXM and the secondaries noted yesterday premarket ESEA/PRGN.  All up 5-10% on the day with DRYS the volume monster.  It was already a good day for all of these before the minutes gave them another round of kicks higher.  The Baltic Dry Index the gauge of freight costs was toying with the 10,000 point level.   The demand from emerging markets is incredible with port congestion in many a country.  The capacity is drained and these boys can kick up rates.   This is nothing new as this has been expressed here constantly, including yesterday.  A possible good sign is other smaller plays are participating in this last binge buying and it all started with the, ..."The shippers, notably DRYS TBSI moved off 9ema yesterday. EXM should follow if this small reversal holds" noted Friday morning.   A helluva run from that short term support area of the 9ema.  Maybe this FREE can catch on if the micros piggyback action in recent days continues, unfortunately, that bloody ARCA on level 2 is still on the ask and not showing his hand.  Once removed this could really move just off its tiny float. 

GS,  if you want a barometer for this market lately look no further.  The drift, the lull of fence sitters was evident in the action of GS proceeding the minutes.   Interestingly, we thought this was setting up to hear a clue of more interest rate cuts in the near term to drive it higher yesterday. Instead, it fed off the news and took a different approach as to signs the boy scouts gave.  To gauge the minutes reaction all you had to do was to watch GS's reaction.   It was evident instantly, we might be in for a good stretch run late in the day.   If we had to pick a large cap, we're glad GS has been a fave here since those recent $190's.

VMW,  recently we talked of this having a shot at 90+, yesterday we talked of $100..what next ?lol.  We're happy to have this as the tech stock of choice if the techs continue forward off good earnings.  Again, you don't need a lot of stocks, you just need the right ones.

STV,  a simple follow up is that it held the morning open prices after retracing to them midday. We'd keep an eye on that level in the short term if breached as a possible exit before re-entering at a later point. Otherwise ...have fun!. Just don't forget there is a market out there beyond watching the minute ticks of this all day.   If STV has you on the edge of the seat because you fear the drops it already has given, take a smaller position.  You don't want to miss other opp's this market gives daily.

A few others from our Journals.....LDK, trade it, flip it..we just won't hold it overnight.   A day turnaround does not make an uptrend in our minds.  Company can say one thing, but a few want to see the independent reports and simply the problem there is not yet solved or the stock would be up much more.     Looks like a lawsuit or two is coming already.     AZZ, maybe closed the gap created by earnings and will act like the earnings guided stock it should be..maybe not.   GLDN,  not sure why this reacted this way to a raising of guidance, this is a low float stock and sometimes you lose sight of that because of the group its in and make more of a move than you should.   One thing to consider is while STV might be the Digital play in China, a huge conversion to digital tv is going on in Russia where TV penetration is at 97%.   GLDN is not a pure telecom play, it is a Digital TV play as well and that will be slowly recognized over time.    CETV, this euro stock was a big winner here before and we took a place in it yesterday as it approaches old highs.     A focus here was creating a new watch list of tradable stocks for our members, over time this list has grown and some might be page on 2 or 3 now as those plays wore off.   As noted yesterday in the forum,  it's good to have past flyers around as they may fly again.   History is no mystery.  If a stock was a fast mover that we once liked, it might be again.    AXR might have been one the last few days, but there is a bigger past mover out there in AMAG $55-72 that has had a great month so far.       FWLT, GHM, GTLS might be ones to stick on closer watch again.

Despite the action in afternoon, volume is still a concern.   A few fell off the fence on to the long side yesterday, but not as many as we'd like to see.   What you don't want to see is a continued divergence in the volume with a ladder walk up in points on the major indices.  This is what we are seeing in the NYSE and SPX stuff.

...The Love boat (ship)

Despite the major indices puttering along, notably the Dow as the big caps lost its allure thanks to profit worries hitting the A-B-C's and even an M of the big cap niche (AA,BA,CVX,MON), the DJIM closely watched index hardly blinked an eye.  This midday down tick included the RUT, rotting away till a late push made for a mixed day.   Life went on here, the main concentration here this week continued on the Shipping stocks and most of us were humming....Love, exciting and new..Come aboard.  We 're expecting you.  Love, life's sweetest reward...let it flow, it floats back to you....Okay, no romance here, but we were all waiting for more traders to get aboard our ships filled with iron ore and cereals to send our stocks higher.   Most importantly, we were waiting for those interested in a FREE ride and we definitely got this low floater discovered as it hit Briefingtrader and then late afternoon the more widely read day log that really pushed it.  This was our cry in the forum early and our cries turned to smiles as they profiled FREE late in the day.

The boys DRYS, TBSI, EXM, the secondary plays ESEA, PRGN started great and of course the idea of FREE caught on.   For a second lets turn back the clock to Aug 26 when we issued a weekend alert as the markets were dwindling, yet the shippers were making new highs.   What a concept buying the NCH is!.  This time it wasn't for an individual stock, it was for a sector.    Why not?.   This just stamps the over played methodology here of buying the strongest, those near highs and those making NCH's.   Same goes for the China stocks we've been trading.   The idea Tuesday at noon that this sector might go even higher after an already great morning proved to be true and TBSI had a nice and quick 5 point upside from the $50 mark.  Oh yeah, great job Briefingcom for picking up on the secondary plays to the big boys, it only helps our cause that was expressed here early this week.  We're not looking for the recent China speculative action to repeat itself,  so what we do is sell to the ones boarding this train late...sorry meant ship!.   Hey, every nice size cargo has to be unloaded at some time and we're not shy about doing it.    FREE, we waited long enough for this to be discovered,  our last note was early Tuesday afternoon and of course we were selling quite a bit into the strength.   We've always tried and discovered stocks before the herd as many of you know from hanging out with us at those seedy bars before.   There is money to be made in getting early, it is a clear monetary advantage to get to something first and use the later herd discovery as an advantage to your pocket book.   This was the case with FREE, even MHJ got  some print and pump in other circles.    We don't doubt this could go higher as this discovery on huge volume should give it legs and we'll trade it accordingly.   Our only fault with it is it has a knack of giving it up (gains) and until that seller is completely removed, we aren't so sure it won't again.   If using the big volume surge as a gauge this shouldn't happen...still if some profit taking takes its course in the big boys soon, this FREE will see it too.  The BDI jumped 3.6% and the fever will continue into Q1 `08, but not without a few hiccups.   We've seen them before eh?.  Not all up days are 3.6% on a index are they.  Also, don't confuse dry bulk ships with those carrying crude.   There isn't a worse area to swim in.

Unless the #'s, guidance from the big techs ( most importantly) is terrible, we are of the gut feeling the RUT will have a melt up into the late stage of 2007 and catch up to the indices that are making new highs seemingly daily. We're in the right place with the niche we cover if this happens..okay, when it happens;).  So, don't panic when you see the DJIA drift lower just over100 points if your DJIM play list is not blinking like yesterday.  Anyways, a very good week as we've been in the loop as to what is going to move. 

A few scattered names of interest/ focus that we have been adding to or looking to possibly get in, include................

VMW, tgt raised yesterday by UBS,    China's STV, WX ,EDU (eps next week, maybe a little run before off a NCH today), also dirty Brean Murray is here so after JRJC who knows what they might have in mind here,    GLDN, which regrouped and had a solid day,   CETV near highs,   CSCT which had some news out on revenue yesterday,  maybe even GROW on a reversal following some asset news yesterday and ARTW, following EPS midday. 

YII - YANG..

No we're not talking YIN - YANG, we already have an understanding of how things work in the speculative market down in China that has more bubbles than MariaB has in her lips.   We're talking the YII, the Yhoo, Ibm, Intc.   This is in part is what we have been waiting for and soon enough their earnings and their outlook will start to cause everything to happen....good or bad.    Hopefully the YII won't be the start of the YIN, but instead the YANG and we could go upward and strong into the New Year.     Yesterday was just a pure lame trading environment, most traders seemingly stayed on the sidelines early while the few around picked up anything they could to take advantage of the boredom while most looked ahead to today and the week of tech earnings.  This included playing off the noise in good olde Oil, Citigroup..whatever they could get their hands on to create a negative spin.    Simply, we tossed this all aside, it is all pretty irrelevant in the scope of things, the scope of earnings coming up.   As traders our gig is too seek opportunities, no matter where they might arise.   We cannot dwell on things we cannot control such as the subprime, oil highs etc. and now earnings.   There will always be something to work off and if the earnings do not provide the backdrop we love to work with, we will just have to change our tone and seek opportunities elsewhere.    What we have had is an excellent enviro to trade the past month or so, you don't need many more chances than the one you just had to make for a very profitable year.    There has been more than one stretch this year to make your year, most times you can make your profits in a short time and then shut it off.   We have always stressed this if you catch up on your Journals.   So, what we are saying is we could shut it down for the year, but we love this gig too much and want to love it more into the New Year with all of you here.   It is not about greed,  it's about loving the venue and winning in it.   In essence you are competing, a sport of sorts but we are not going to risk our winnings shamelessly if the market hints at shutting it down and only looking very selectively at opportunities.   Yesterday, we had an early probability of a selective play to get us all through the day, it could have got you a nice morning and /or afternoon if you got tuned in early from our Journal....

EDU,  everything we wanted to say about it possibly today, we said yesterday.   We're glad most saw the report the way we did and perked it up two times yesterday. A nice few hours into the close.  If you kept some of the EDU at bargain prices when alerted Friday into the earnings, well then you really did well!.    If you want more on it, a suggestion is to find the transcript (try the yahoo page on EDU) of the CC and learn more about this story.

CETV,  we love these $100 dollar kinda of plays because before you blink they are up 6-7% as is the case with CETV since we picked it up last week.   We like these recent and not highly followed breakouts instead of the daily momo ones that can fall quickly down an elevator shaft and take your profits with them.

DRYS TBSI EXM, yeah yeah..what else is new, just more NCH's and more price tgt increases this am.lol  This story ain't going away heading into the New Year as we've noted before, but after this latest binge run we are more cautious and prefer a pullback to go with a worthy position overnight.  Lets just say, we liked a TBSI more at $50 recently than at $60 now.   In the meantime, we are trading these intraday and feeeding off the morning tone in these..no not in premk, but an hour or so in the day.

Google effect

There is really only one company reporting tonight that matters to us and it is an important one, google!    Well, at least we can say that the results and the ensuing after hour action isn't disappointing.    With google at this price level and people aren't disappointed about its growth prospect and are willing to pay up, this only gives us a clue of the status of this market.    Yes, the big banks may give us some headache like headlines but we already expected that from them.   Banks are capable of taking this kind of earning hit(hopefully one time) and in our opinion will not impact the overall market that much.   This is still very much a growth dominated market.    We dig technology stocks as well as shippers and solars and any other sectors that's considered growth oriented.     To put this in perspective, many participants including DJIM traders believe that there's still quite bit of upside left in this market.   The key, of course, is to realize which stocks are the driving force of this market and stick with them at all time.   It's been a while since we have these many stocks that are triple digit or approaching triple digit on our watchlist.    This simply reflects the kind of activities that are going on in this market and we better be there to take advantage of them.

Right now, the last few days of weakness feel like nothing but a minor pullback.   In this case, strong stocks should be bought on dips aggressively as long as they are technically intact.   There's really only one way to play a bull market, you buy on dips and you buy on breakouts.   DJIM traders have been very aggressive on the long side the last while and we'd intend to keep it this way unless something dramatic happens.

Now onto some plays...

ASTI, exactly one month ago, this one pulled some stunning move and did a double within a matter of a week.   We definitely like to see the similar kind of movement this time around and so far we got a wicked start today.   This move got kick started by the news of insider buying yesterday and our beloved Briefing picked it up today.   Yes, it's in play and it's a hot one!

YTEC, for some reason, it just doesn't feel that this runup is over.   It's looking more and more like it's trying to setup for another run.   We are still holding our position and with the 9 ema catching up, it may just be a matter of days if not hours before it gets going.   It's certainly capable of doing that.

NTCT, this is a stock we've been watching for a few days and we finally jumped on it for a small position as it isn't pulling back from the recent runup.   This one has very good IBD rating but we feel in order for it to have a shot onto the IBD100 list, it will depend on its results next week.

Shippers,  EXM/TBSI/DRYS all had a good day and especially the first two.   This is really about how high these things can go as oppose to when they will stop going up.    We think the only reason that can stop them is when they forecast a slowdown in their business.

Besides all those usual suspects, we also like the action from GLDN, GSOL and ANW today.    Bottom line, keep an eye on all of the high flying stocks on your watchlist, as soon as you feel the consolidation is done, it's almost certain that they can go nowhere but up.