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Monday
Jan082007

EPS kick off..

Tomorrow it's kick off time with the first reports coming to the forefront to give this wishy- washy market a direction..maybe!.  We couldn't think of a better time as many of the movers and shakers we've covered over the past few months are still in the 'hub' and waiting for the next flight plan.  Well...this can be quite excruciating waiting for the next move after being accustomed to very nice gains, so the best thing is to get some new fresh plays on the table!.  You just can't wait or expect on the ZOLL's, ATNI's to kick it up with the same feverish tempo we are accustomed to ...the easy money has been made, the easy play we are after at DJIM is over with so many of these names and it is time for the next round.   Tomorrow is the kick off!.   We hope it doesn't include a Romo Cowboy bobble move!.   Is this what all of us have been trying to push back, the inevitable fact that corporate profits will be not be as strong.   Maybe, but we are not going to worry about it as we still expect there to be plenty of nice surprises in small cap land to jump on.   What we are trying to do and will continue (especially in a 'quiet period), as in the first 4 days of trading in '07 is look for potential opportunities to capture a short term move if need be to cure the boring action.  Profits are Profits..pretty or not!    Maybe these 1 or 2 day moves won't get us the DJIM benchmark of finding a 25% move, but we will gladly settle for a 5-10-15% easy play in a day or two.   The same DJIM principles apply, stick a name we throw on watch and see if receives a little love!.   We are not getting into scalping or the very speculative cheap issues, but ones that have tracks of past moves that can be replicated.   We think we know what the fellow trader likes.   An example is BRLC, which we covered a bit in late '06, many of its past moves all stem from what their darling Murray analyst says...He loves to give nice price targets and did it again Friday, the stock always reacts positively and beyond what is normal for such wisdom of increasing a price target.   Understanding the psyche of the trader lets you in the door, if you think with a little street smarts..you can get in the door first.   Anyways..for those with other gigs, this is our responsibility not yours to find these plays or think like the other players.  The first and probably hardest think to do is find a stock, a stock with some features you know will get a trade.   NWK was one that had what many like.  First, it quietly pre-announced a very good Q revenue based and upped the years growth to 17-20% from 10%.   Well, we know what we would do if this was a EPS report, we'd jump on it if it included a similar EPS growth prospect.   We also know these don't last a day, so we thought a second day follow through might happen and it did very nicely on what looks like a volume high day.   Everybody likes a stock under $10, this was the other factor in thinking this had more space to run.  These stocks are not what we look for in a long term DJIM relationship, it's simply a date and one you got lucky on! 

If that is not your game and it really isn't ours, there are a some recent mentions on the Journal that acted well today with a few making NCH's today to look at again...

GRC, a strong EPS co' talked about last night put in a nice day adding 4.5%.

AMK, 3mln float with nice EPS closed up almost 7% and a NCH.  A perfect example of getting a nice price the last few days if you were following it since our mention.

MTRX got some CNBC spin this morning and seems to have survived the oil massacre in one piece. This was risky getting in at earning with all that was going on, but it stayed in its range since and now just needs a nice close over $17 to maybe continue on. The huge institutional interest in this name make you play on their time.. a little patience is probably needed here.  It would be nice to have something other than ALY, BTJ to kick around.

MFW, we took a position in this holding co' that recently spent some pocket change, 1.7bln for an acquisition and it took off. Incredibly, this looks like it might not be finished as it broke out today to new highs.

A few names to do some DD on for tomorrow..ANGN, a stock we first picked up at $4 reported prelim numbers that look pretty good. OSIR got some FDA news AH and is sitting just off highs, this one can move if this is not priced in.