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Friday
Jan282011

..ticking higher

A game of..’You go first’….’No, you go first’, characterizes the market participants (longs and shorts).  A lack of conviction on either side,  although both have reasons to make a move.   A lack of urgency is prevailing, likely due to expectation of a correction.   A correction would give investors who believe more now in a global recovery a chance to enter and the shorts some confidence to try and press the downward shift.   Luckily, we are at the peak of earnings season and all we need to do is concentrate on individual plays and nothing more.  There’s plenty of fish to trade on a one by one basis, whilst ignoring the market gibberish on Dow 12000/SPX 1300.  Eco data- Initial claims couldn't get a move started, now GDP on deck.

Shadowlist

  • Momentum/earnings/“winners of ‘10 –  The Q4 earnings reactions are definitely getting better as speculated here recently as seen by NFLX  partying like it’s 2010 all over again.  Also, RVBD  basically in-line call/guide was well received and should begin to take the sting out of the space post FFIV.  (See EQIX note this week).  Importantly,TMRK ,  M&A activity is a boost for the data center related names like EQIX SVVS  etc and just the whole ‘cloud’ area.
  • Commodities –  Despite a 5thstraight down day for the USD, most spaces sold off, likely due to China New Years hikes possibility.  CRR,  a earnings addition to trading list as it continues to make solid earnings in the O&G equipment sec.
  • Q4 earnings updateOPLK OPNT, mid –caps on watch for now as 4-5pt gaps are little too eager for this liking. SCSC , as well.